Tennis · M25 Rabat · 03/07, 11:00
Prediction: Florian Broska vs Reda Bennani
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Florian Broska; the market gives 56% to Florian Broska (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Florian Broska is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Reda Bennani 7-3 over theirs.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florian Broska 1561 · Reda Bennani 1539
| Florian Broska | Reda Bennani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Florian Broska | Reda Bennani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.1 | 11.7-10 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 51% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florian Broska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Kobelt M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Parth Aggarwal M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Lasse Poertner Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Reda Bennani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alexandr Binda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Dillon Beckles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Sean Cuenin M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Yassine Smiej M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Cemil Tugra Duran Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 15/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florian Broska vs Reda Bennani?
Our model gives 55% to Florian Broska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.