Tennis · Wimbledon MD · 04/07, 12:00
Prediction: Rojer/Winegar vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Rojer/Winegar; the market gives 69% to Nys/Roger-Vasselin (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Rojer/Winegar with 10 wins and 0 losses over 10 games; Nys/Roger-Vasselin has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rojer/Winegar 1595 · Nys/Roger-Vasselin 1570
| Rojer/Winegar | Nys/Roger-Vasselin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rojer/Winegar | Nys/Roger-Vasselin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (1) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-9.7 | 12.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.5% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rojer/Winegar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Bhambri/Venus Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Nam/Niklas-Salminen Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/05 | Ayeni/Smith Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Matsui/Santillan Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Sun/Zeng Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/05 | Noguchi/Sun Challenger Jiujiang MD · Clay |
1-2 | 20-21 | L |
| 30/04 | Delaney/Shimizu Challenger Jiujiang MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Kiger/Stalder Challenger Gwangju MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 24/04 | Puttergill/Sweeny Challenger Gwangju MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Jones/Paris Challenger Gwangju MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Evans/Searle Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Johnson/Zielinski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Jebens/Vocel ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Stevenson/Willis ATP Queens MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Granollers/Zeballos French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Reyes-Varela/Tabilo French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Ho/Jebens French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Kopriva/Pieczonka French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rojer/Winegar vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin?
Our model gives 59% to Nys/Roger-Vasselin, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.