Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 03/07, 10:00

Prediction: Khololwam Montsi vs Kris Van Wyk

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Khololwam Montsi; the market gives 86% to Khololwam Montsi (odds 1.10).

On recent form, Khololwam Montsi is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kris Van Wyk 3-7 over theirs.

75%1
75% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khololwam Montsi 1548 · Kris Van Wyk 1461
Khololwam MontsiKris Van Wyk
Our model62%38%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khololwam Montsi (rating 1548 vs 1461).
  • Khololwam Montsi is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Khololwam Montsi 1–0 Kris Van Wyk (1).

Statistics

Khololwam MontsiKris Van Wyk
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.7-1.5
Games (G-P)11.2-8.68.5-11.3
Aces0.63.3
Double faults0.43.7
1st serve %64.8%67.4%
Break %66.8%30.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

H2H · Khololwam Montsi 10 Kris Van Wyk (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Khololwam Montsi 10 Kris Van Wyk

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DateSetsGamesRes.
27/06/24
ITF M25 Hillcrest
2-012-2W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khololwam Montsi

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 James Beaven
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Filip Peliwo
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/06 Alexander Donski
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
05/06 Arda Azkara
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/06 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
26/05 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
12/11 Mehdi Benchakroun
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
01/11 Ritesh Patil
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/10 Francisco Salmain
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Kris Van Wyk

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Luc Koenig
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
30/06 Gray Voelzke
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W
01/06 Tuncay Duran
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/05 Simphiwe Ngwenya
Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/05 Luc Koenig
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
22/04 Amr Asrawy
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/04 Karan Singh
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/04 Grigory Shebekin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 14-16 L
01/04 Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/03 Sydney Zick
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khololwam Montsi vs Kris Van Wyk?

Our model gives 75% to Khololwam Montsi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.