Tennis · Wimbledon MD · 04/07, 12:00
Prediction: Gille/Verbeek vs Granollers/Zeballos
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Granollers/Zeballos; the market gives 73% to Granollers/Zeballos (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Gille/Verbeek with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Granollers/Zeballos has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gille/Verbeek 1536 · Granollers/Zeballos 1617
| Gille/Verbeek | Granollers/Zeballos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Granollers/Zeballos (rating 1536 vs 1617).
- Granollers/Zeballos is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gille/Verbeek | Granollers/Zeballos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.8-14.6 | 13.7-9 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 81.2% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 22.1% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gille/Verbeek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Balaji/Demoliner Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Reynolds/Watt Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
1-2 | 20-25 | L |
| 16/06 | Gill/Harris Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
2-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 11/06 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
1-2 | 21-24 | L |
| 06/06 | Seggerman/Winegar Challenger Perugia MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-18 | W |
| 05/06 | Duda/Latinovic Challenger Perugia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Kadhe/Zormann Challenger Perugia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Bueno/Gaubas Challenger Perugia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/05 | Bergs/Collignon French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/05 | Balaji/Demoliner ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Granollers/Zeballos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Galloway/Peers Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Heliovaara/Patten French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Bolelli/Vavassori French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Kirkov/Stevens French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Fucsovics/Giron French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/05 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Rome MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-23 | L |
| 16/05 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Rome MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-14 | W |
| 14/05 | Doumbia/Reboul ATP Rome MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Galloway/Gonzalez ATP Rome MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gille/Verbeek vs Granollers/Zeballos?
Our model gives 68% to Granollers/Zeballos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.