Tennis · Wimbledon MD · 04/07, 12:00
Prediction: Arribage/Olivetti vs Ho/Jebens
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 71% to Arribage/Olivetti; the market gives 75% to Arribage/Olivetti (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Arribage/Olivetti sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Ho/Jebens arrives on a 3-7 run.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arribage/Olivetti 1619 · Ho/Jebens 1467
| Arribage/Olivetti | Ho/Jebens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arribage/Olivetti (rating 1619 vs 1467).
- Arribage/Olivetti is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Arribage/Olivetti | Ho/Jebens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 90% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-11.2 | 12.3-13.7 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 82% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 15.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arribage/Olivetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Luz/Matos Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Goransson/King ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 26/06 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Gonzalez/Gonzalez ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Polmans/Seggerman ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Altmaier/Fonseca ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Cash/Tracy ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Borges/Polmans ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-19 | W |
Ho/Jebens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Frantzen/Haase Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Jones/Paris Challenger Birmingham MD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Buse/Kiger French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 13/05 | Reyes-Varela/Willis Challenger Bordeaux MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Kittay/Seggerman Challenger Francavilla MD · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/05 | Kirkov/Stevens Challenger Aix en Provence MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Schnaitter/Wallner Challenger Aix en Provence MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-20 | W |
| 30/04 | Herbert/Hijikata Challenger Aix en Provence MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/04 | Escobar/Serdarusic Challenger Oeiras MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arribage/Olivetti vs Ho/Jebens?
Our model gives 73% to Arribage/Olivetti, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.