Tennis · Challenger Brasov · 03/07, 10:00

Prediction: Guido Ivan Justo vs Olle Wallin

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Guido Ivan Justo; the market gives 61% to Guido Ivan Justo (odds 1.53).

Recent form leaves Guido Ivan Justo with 9 wins and 1 losses over 10 games; Olle Wallin has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

57%1
57% 43%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guido Ivan Justo 1584 · Olle Wallin 1569
Guido Ivan JustoOlle Wallin
Our model52%48%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Guido Ivan JustoOlle Wallin
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.61.5-0.8
Games (G-P)12.4-7.712.3-9.1
Aces0.85.4
Double faults0.51.8
1st serve %69.5%69.7%
Break %55.5%42.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guido Ivan Justo

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
30/06 Sebastian Gima
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/06 Nick Hardt
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Juan Sebastian Gomez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Alex Hernandez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
12/06 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
11/06 Hernan Casanova
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
09/06 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Olle Wallin

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
30/06 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
29/06 Sergey Fomin
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
28/06 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 19-14 W
27/06 Max Hans Rehberg
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
26/06 Harold Huens
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Noah Martens
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 Justas Trainauskas
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
15/06 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guido Ivan Justo vs Olle Wallin?

Our model gives 57% to Guido Ivan Justo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.