Tennis · M15 Kayseri · 03/07, 09:00

Prediction: Mert Naci Turker vs Melih Anavatan

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Mert Naci Turker; the market gives 63% to Mert Naci Turker (odds 1.50).

Recent form leaves Mert Naci Turker with 9 wins and 1 losses over 10 games; Melih Anavatan has piled up 2-8 in the same span.

63%1
63% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mert Naci Turker 1551 · Melih Anavatan 1448
Mert Naci TurkerMelih Anavatan
Our model64%36%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mert Naci Turker (rating 1551 vs 1448).
  • Mert Naci Turker is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Mert Naci TurkerMelih Anavatan
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.70.7-1.5
Games (G-P)12.5-10.49.8-12.1
Aces3.82.4
Double faults3.43.6
1st serve %78.1%65.3%
Break %26.9%37.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

H2H · Mert Naci Turker 11 Melih Anavatan (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mert Naci Turker 11 Melih Anavatan

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/04/26
M15 Pretoria
1-218-17L
25/06/25
M15 Kayseri
2-117-13W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mert Naci Turker

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Bogdan Seleznev
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Muzammil Murtaza
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
25/06 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
07/06 Dimitris Azoidis
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L
06/06 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
05/06 Romain Faucon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 11-7 W
03/06 Hitesh Chauhan
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
28/05 Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 15-15 L
27/05 Stijn Hofman
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 18-13 W

Melih Anavatan

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Bora Sengul
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 Nicolas Tepmahc
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Romain Faucon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
27/05 Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
18/05 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
06/05 Muhammad Shoaib
M15 Islamabad · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/04 Darrshan Suresh
M15 Islamabad · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/04 Gian Luca Tanner
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/04 Mert Naci Turker
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
2-1 17-18 W
23/04 Roman Kharlamov
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mert Naci Turker vs Melih Anavatan?

Our model gives 63% to Mert Naci Turker, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.