Tennis · M15 Kayseri · 02/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mert Naci Turker vs Bogdan Seleznev
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Mert Naci Turker; the market gives 81% to Mert Naci Turker (odds 1.14).
On recent form, Mert Naci Turker is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Bogdan Seleznev 6-4 over theirs.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mert Naci Turker 1539 · Bogdan Seleznev 1511
| Mert Naci Turker | Bogdan Seleznev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mert Naci Turker | Bogdan Seleznev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.4 | 9.8-10 |
| Aces | 4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 27.9% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mert Naci Turker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Hitesh Chauhan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Stijn Hofman M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Bogdan Seleznev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Vladimir Osminkin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Hryhorii Kartavenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Cyrus Mahjoob M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Tokitaka Ito M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Hitesh Chauhan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Asim Hashem M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mert Naci Turker vs Bogdan Seleznev?
Our model gives 69% to Mert Naci Turker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.