Tennis · W35 Aix-les-Bains · 02/07, 19:00
Prediction: Astrid Lew Yan Foon vs Oceane Dodin
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Oceane Dodin; the market gives 65% to Oceane Dodin (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Astrid Lew Yan Foon sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Oceane Dodin arrives on a 5-5 run.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Astrid Lew Yan Foon 1449 · Oceane Dodin 1497
| Astrid Lew Yan Foon | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oceane Dodin (rating 1449 vs 1497).
- Oceane Dodin dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Note: Oceane Dodin makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Astrid Lew Yan Foon | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.2 | 9.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Astrid Lew Yan Foon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Marcelina Podlinska W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Julie Belgraver WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Rouen · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 18/02 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Les Sables d'Olonne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Les Sables d'Olonne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/02 | Nahia Berecoechea WTA Les Sables d'Olonne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/02 | Camilla Rosatello W50 Grenoble · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Oceane Dodin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Amy Stevens W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Lulu Sun Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Pigossi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Kayla Day French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/05 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Katie Volynets WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 12/04 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Kathinka Von Deichmann WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Astrid Lew Yan Foon vs Oceane Dodin?
Our model gives 61% to Oceane Dodin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.