Tennis · W35 Aix-les-Bains · 04/07, 16:30
Prediction: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Madison Sieg
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Aurora Zantedeschi; the market gives 59% to Aurora Zantedeschi (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Aurora Zantedeschi sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Madison Sieg arrives on a 6-4 run.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora Zantedeschi 1588 · Madison Sieg 1572
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Madison Sieg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Madison Sieg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.4 | 12.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora Zantedeschi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Meline Lataste W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Troiano W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Martina Colmegna W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Madison Sieg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Lisa Zaar W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Lea Nilsson W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Lucie Petruzelova W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ida Johansson W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora Zantedeschi vs Madison Sieg?
Our model gives 56% to Aurora Zantedeschi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.