Tennis · W35 Aix-les-Bains · 03/07, 10:00
Prediction: Madison Sieg vs Lisa Zaar
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Lisa Zaar; the market gives 73% to Lisa Zaar (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Madison Sieg sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Lisa Zaar arrives on a 8-2 run.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madison Sieg 1549 · Lisa Zaar 1577
| Madison Sieg | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Madison Sieg | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.3 | 12.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madison Sieg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Lea Nilsson W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Lucie Petruzelova W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ida Johansson W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Antonia Rivera W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Lisa Zaar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Xiaodi You W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Rasheeda McAdoo W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Alana Smith WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Carolina Alves WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madison Sieg vs Lisa Zaar?
Our model gives 65% to Lisa Zaar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.