Tennis · W35 Aix-les-Bains · 02/07, 12:30
Prediction: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Ekaterina Kazionova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Lucie Nguyen Tan; the market gives 49% to Lucie Nguyen Tan (odds 1.91).
Recent form leaves Lucie Nguyen Tan with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Ekaterina Kazionova has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1556 · Ekaterina Kazionova 1501
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucie Nguyen Tan (rating 1556 vs 1501).
- Note: Ekaterina Kazionova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.2 | 10.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Alina Granwehr W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/05 | Joanna Garland W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Carlota Garcia Alonso W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Stella Cinkanicova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Ekaterina Kazionova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Liv Boulard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Burchak W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Julie Struplova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lina Gjorcheska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/05 | Fiona Ferro WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Carlota Martinez Cirez WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Ekaterina Kazionova?
Our model gives 53% to Lucie Nguyen Tan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.