Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 02/07, 11:00
Prediction: Devin Badenhorst vs Preston Brown
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Devin Badenhorst; the market gives 83% to Devin Badenhorst (odds 1.13).
Recent form leaves Devin Badenhorst with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Preston Brown has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Devin Badenhorst 1554 · Preston Brown 1507
| Devin Badenhorst | Preston Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devin Badenhorst (rating 1554 vs 1507).
Statistics
| Devin Badenhorst | Preston Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.4 | 11.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 71% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Devin Badenhorst
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Akira Santillan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | William Freshwater UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Camilo Cano Gomez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Connor Henry Van Schalkwyk UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Eli Dieveney UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Preston Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Willem De Waal M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Ofek Shimanov Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 24/05 | Peter Buldorini Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Seabo Saleshando M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Robert Strombachs M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Ntungamili Raguin M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 06/05 | Roberto Cid Subervi M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Devin Badenhorst vs Preston Brown?
Our model gives 71% to Devin Badenhorst, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.