Tennis · Challenger Brasov · 02/07, 12:30
Prediction: Stefan Palosi vs Zsombor Piros
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Zsombor Piros; the market gives 78% to Zsombor Piros (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Stefan Palosi sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Zsombor Piros arrives on a 4-6 run.
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Palosi 1472 · Zsombor Piros 1495
| Stefan Palosi | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Zsombor Piros dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 50.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Stefan Palosi | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-13.5 | 10.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 70% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Palosi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Dominik Recek Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/04 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/04 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/03 | John Sperle Challenger Zadar · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/03 | Matthias Ujvary Challenger Zadar · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/02 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Tigre · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Zsombor Piros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Radu Albot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ivan Ivanov Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Henrique Rocha French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Jan Choinski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Palosi vs Zsombor Piros?
Our model gives 67% to Zsombor Piros, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.