Prediction: Maciej Rajski vs Noble Renfrow
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 73% to Maciej Rajski; the market gives 88% to Maciej Rajski (odds 1.07).
On recent form, Maciej Rajski is 10-0 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Noble Renfrow 5-5 over theirs.
| Maciej Rajski | Noble Renfrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maciej Rajski (rating 1684 vs 1511).
- Noble Renfrow dominates on serve: 8 aces and 59.4% break avg.
- Maciej Rajski is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Maciej Rajski 1–0 Noble Renfrow (1).
- Note: Noble Renfrow makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Maciej Rajski | Noble Renfrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-6.4 | 12.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 65.6% | 59.4% |
H2H · Maciej Rajski 1 – 0 Noble Renfrow (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maciej Rajski 1–0 Noble Renfrow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 UTR Pro Newport Beach | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maciej Rajski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Ilan Klein UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Caleb Saltz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/06 | David Ekpenyong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Nikolas Stoot M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/05 | Noah Zamora UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Noble Renfrow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Joshua Peck M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Oscar Corwin UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Kyle Chesman UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Vit Kalina UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Simkin UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Alan Jesudason UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maciej Rajski vs Noble Renfrow?
Our model gives 81% to Maciej Rajski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.