Tennis · Challenger Brasov · 02/07, 11:00
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Olle Wallin; the market gives 66% to Frederico Ferreira Silva (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Olle Wallin sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Frederico Ferreira Silva arrives on a 5-5 run.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1560 · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1462
| Olle Wallin | Frederico Ferreira Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1560 vs 1462).
- Olle Wallin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Frederico Ferreira Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.7 | 10.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Harold Huens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Noah Martens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/05 | Federico Agustin Gomez French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Frederico Ferreira Silva?
Our model gives 53% to Frederico Ferreira Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.