Prediction: Arribage/Olivetti vs Luz/Matos
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 73% to Arribage/Olivetti; the market gives 66% to Arribage/Olivetti (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Arribage/Olivetti with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Luz/Matos has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Arribage/Olivetti | Luz/Matos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arribage/Olivetti (rating 1604 vs 1427).
- Arribage/Olivetti is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Arribage/Olivetti 2–0 Luz/Matos (2).
Statistics
| Arribage/Olivetti | Luz/Matos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Grass | 89% (9) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-12.1 | 13.5-16.4 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 82.8% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 21.1% |
H2H · Arribage/Olivetti 2 – 0 Luz/Matos (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arribage/Olivetti 2–0 Luz/Matos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 ATP Halle MD | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/04/26 ATP Munich MD | 2-1 | 21-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arribage/Olivetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Goransson/King ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 26/06 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Gonzalez/Gonzalez ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Polmans/Seggerman ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Altmaier/Fonseca ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Cash/Tracy ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Borges/Polmans ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 28/05 | Nouza/Oberleitner French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Luz/Matos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Stevenson/Willis ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
1-2 | 23-23 | L |
| 16/06 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Halle MD · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Romboli/Smith ATP Stuttgart MD · Grass |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/05 | Goransson/King French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
1-2 | 12-20 | L |
| 16/05 | Arends/Pel Challenger Valencia MD · Clay |
1-2 | 20-23 | L |
| 15/05 | Kiger/Stalder Challenger Valencia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Kirkov/Stevens Challenger Valencia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/05 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Rome MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Bublik/Polmans ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arribage/Olivetti vs Luz/Matos?
Our model gives 70% to Arribage/Olivetti, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.