Handball · Austria HLA · 27/10, 19:00

Prediction: HSG Graz vs SC Ferlach

Team pages: HSG Graz · SC Ferlach

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.1Total

HSG Graz30.2

SC Ferlach28.9

1X2

58% 42%

HSG Graz SC Ferlach

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Graz 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLWL

SC Ferlach 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDWDDD

Head-to-head

HSG Graz 3–1–2 SC Ferlach (6 last)

HSG Graz32-29SC Ferlach
SC Ferlach27-27HSG Graz
SC Ferlach37-25HSG Graz
HSG Graz30-28SC Ferlach
HSG Graz32-29SC Ferlach
SC Ferlach27-22HSG Graz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Graz 1534 · SC Ferlach 1504

	HSG Graz	SC Ferlach
Our model	64%	36%
Market	48%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 59.1 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.1HSG Graz 30.2 · SC Ferlach 28.9

Match keys

H2H favours HSG Graz: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Graz	SC Ferlach
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 31.2	28 / 26.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 33	28.8 / 27.8
Est. result	30	29

Est. total59.1

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.90

X8.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.25

2 (+1.5)1.58

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 58.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.90▲	Bet365 1.90
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.55 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:07 +8’	1.70	8.00	2.55
13:03 +13’	1.90▲	8.00	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Graz 3–1–2 SC Ferlach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	32-29	SC Ferlach
18/10/25 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	27-27	HSG Graz
24/05/25 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	37-25	HSG Graz
30/04/25 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	30-28	SC Ferlach
12/04/25 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	32-29	SC Ferlach
23/11/24 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	27-22	HSG Graz

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	8	6	0	2	254	233	12
2	SC Ferlach	8	4	4	0	242	222	12
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	7	5	0	2	247	221	10
4	Bregenz Handball	8	4	1	3	258	251	9
5	HC Linz AG	7	4	0	3	213	210	8
6	BT Fuchse	8	4	0	4	242	244	8
7	HSG Graz	8	4	0	4	255	262	8
8	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	8	3	2	3	229	219	8
9	Alpla HC Hard	8	3	0	5	246	248	6
10	Voslauer HC	7	3	0	4	205	202	6
11	UHK Krems	7	1	2	4	199	212	4
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	8	0	1	7	208	274	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Graz	SC Ferlach
WAT Atzgersdorf	34-29 W	28-28 D
Bregenz Handball	35-32 W	33-33 D
HC Linz AG	29-36 L	34-28 W
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	30-29 W	30-30 D
UHK Krems	35-32 W	26-26 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HSG Graz (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Graz

WWLWWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	29-31	L
10/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	34-29	W
07/10	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	34-37	L
04/10	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	35-32	W
26/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	29-36	L
11/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	30-29	W
05/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	35-32	W
03/06	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	29-32	L
29/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	25-24	W
23/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	35-30	W

SC Ferlach

WLLWWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	30-30	D
10/10	UHK Krems Austria HLA	26-26	D
03/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	28-28	D
26/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	27-22	W
19/09	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-33	D
09/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	28-26	W
05/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	34-28	W
27/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	20-24	L
22/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	23-25	L
09/05	UHK Krems Austria HLA	31-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Graz vs SC Ferlach?

Our model gives 58% to HSG Graz.

How many points are expected in HSG Graz vs SC Ferlach?

The model estimates 59.1 total points (HSG Graz 30.2 · SC Ferlach 28.9).