Handball · Austria HLA · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: SC Ferlach vs Handball Tirol

Team pages: SC Ferlach · Handball Tirol

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.3Total

SC Ferlach28.4

Handball Tirol30

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

SC Ferlach Handball Tirol

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 61.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Ferlach 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWDDDW

Handball Tirol 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLLWW

Head-to-head

SC Ferlach 3–3 Handball Tirol (6 last)

SC Ferlach29-31Handball Tirol
Handball Tirol33-34SC Ferlach
Handball Tirol29-30SC Ferlach
SC Ferlach30-29Handball Tirol
Handball Tirol31-25SC Ferlach
SC Ferlach34-37Handball Tirol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Ferlach 1517 · Handball Tirol 1559

	SC Ferlach	Handball Tirol
Our model	54%	46%
Market	51%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 58.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.3SC Ferlach 28.4 · Handball Tirol 30

Over / Under 61.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~58.5 pts · strength 3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SC Ferlach	Handball Tirol
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 27.1	31.4 / 29.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 27	32.6 / 29.6
Est. result	28	30

Est. total58.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.3.2

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.80

X8.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 58.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:05 +12’	1.80	8.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Ferlach 3–0–3 Handball Tirol

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/03/26 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	29-31	Handball Tirol
04/10/25 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	33-34	SC Ferlach
01/03/25 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	29-30	SC Ferlach
12/10/24 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	30-29	Handball Tirol
09/03/24 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	31-25	SC Ferlach
27/10/23 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	34-37	Handball Tirol

Standings · Austria HLA

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	8	6	0	2	254	233	12
2	SC Ferlach	8	4	4	0	242	222	12
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	8	6	0	2	280	250	12
4	Bregenz Handball	8	4	1	3	258	251	9
5	HC Linz AG	7	4	0	3	213	210	8
6	BT Fuchse	8	4	0	4	242	244	8
7	HSG Graz	8	4	0	4	255	262	8
8	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	8	3	2	3	229	219	8
9	Alpla HC Hard	8	3	0	5	246	248	6
10	Voslauer HC	7	3	0	4	205	202	6
11	UHK Krems	8	1	2	5	228	245	4
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	8	0	1	7	208	274	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Ferlach	Handball Tirol
HSG Graz	36-29 W	31-29 W
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	30-30 D	29-26 W
WAT Atzgersdorf	28-28 D	39-20 W
Voslauer HC	27-22 W	31-30 W
Bregenz Handball	33-33 D	32-35 L
HC Linz AG	34-28 W	27-32 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Ferlach (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Ferlach

LLWWDWDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	HSG Graz Austria HLA	36-29	W
21/10	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	30-30	D
10/10	UHK Krems Austria HLA	26-26	D
03/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	28-28	D
26/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	27-22	W
19/09	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-33	D
09/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	28-26	W
05/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	34-28	W
27/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	20-24	L
22/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	23-25	L

Handball Tirol

LLWWWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	HSG Graz Austria HLA	31-29	W
17/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	39-20	W
10/10	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	32-35	L
03/10	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	27-32	L
26/09	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	34-32	W
18/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	29-26	W
04/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-30	W
03/06	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	34-28	W
29/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	24-25	L
23/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Ferlach vs Handball Tirol?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (SC Ferlach 56% · Handball Tirol 44%).

How many points are expected in SC Ferlach vs Handball Tirol?

The model estimates 58.3 total points (SC Ferlach 28.4 · Handball Tirol 30).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (70%).