Handball · Austria HLA · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: BT Fuchse vs HSG Graz

Team pages: BT Fuchse · HSG Graz

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.2Total

BT Fuchse31.5

HSG Graz30.7

1X2

66% 34%

BT Fuchse HSG Graz

Recent form · 10 last

BT Fuchse 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLWW

HSG Graz 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWLL

Head-to-head

BT Fuchse 4–2 HSG Graz (6 last)

HSG Graz30-36BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse21-37HSG Graz
HSG Graz29-32BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse31-28HSG Graz
HSG Graz33-26BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse30-22HSG Graz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BT Fuchse 1512 · HSG Graz 1496

	BT Fuchse	HSG Graz
Our model	62%	38%
Market	61%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 62.2 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.2BT Fuchse 31.5 · HSG Graz 30.7

Match keys

BT Fuchse is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours BT Fuchse: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BT Fuchse	HSG Graz
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 31.3	30.9 / 31.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 29.8	32.2 / 33
Est. result	32	31

Est. total62.2

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.47

X8.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.70

2 (+1.5)2.10

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 62.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.52 → 1.47▼	Bet365 1.47
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.00 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +3’	1.52	8.50	3.00
09:11 +6’	1.47▼	8.50	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BT Fuchse 4–0–2 HSG Graz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	30-36	BT Fuchse
27/09/25 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	21-37	HSG Graz
29/03/25 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	29-32	BT Fuchse
02/11/24 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	31-28	HSG Graz
09/03/24 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	33-26	BT Fuchse
28/10/23 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	30-22	HSG Graz

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	8	6	0	2	254	233	12
2	SC Ferlach	8	4	4	0	242	222	12
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	8	6	0	2	280	250	12
4	Bregenz Handball	8	4	1	3	258	251	9
5	HC Linz AG	7	4	0	3	213	210	8
6	BT Fuchse	8	4	0	4	242	244	8
7	HSG Graz	8	4	0	4	255	262	8
8	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	8	3	2	3	229	219	8
9	Alpla HC Hard	8	3	0	5	246	248	6
10	Voslauer HC	7	3	0	4	205	202	6
11	UHK Krems	8	1	2	5	228	245	4
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	8	0	1	7	208	274	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BT Fuchse	HSG Graz
WAT Atzgersdorf	32-23 W	34-29 W
Bregenz Handball	33-27 W	35-32 W
HC Linz AG	31-35 L	29-36 L
Fivers WAT Margareten	31-38 L	34-37 L
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	27-26 W	30-29 W
UHK Krems	25-27 L	35-32 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: BT Fuchse (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BT Fuchse

LLWLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	32-23	W
17/10	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-27	W
10/10	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	31-35	L
03/10	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	31-38	L
25/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	27-26	W
19/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	25-27	L
12/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	28-35	L
05/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	35-33	W
27/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	30-39	L
22/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	29-30	L

HSG Graz

WLWWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	29-36	L
23/10	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	29-31	L
10/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	34-29	W
07/10	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	34-37	L
04/10	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	35-32	W
26/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	29-36	L
11/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	30-29	W
05/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	35-32	W
03/06	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	29-32	L
29/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	25-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BT Fuchse vs HSG Graz?

Our model gives 66% to BT Fuchse.

How many points are expected in BT Fuchse vs HSG Graz?

The model estimates 62.2 total points (BT Fuchse 31.5 · HSG Graz 30.7).