Handball · France Division 1 Women · 09/10, 19:30

Prediction: Paris 92 (W) vs ESBF Besancon (W)

Team pages: Paris 92 (W) · ESBF Besancon (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.5Total

Paris 92 (W)28.7

ESBF Besancon (W)29.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

Paris 92 (W) ESBF Besancon (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 55.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Paris 92 (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLLDL

ESBF Besancon (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Paris 92 (W) 3–1–2 ESBF Besancon (W) (6 last)

Paris 92 (W)29-25ESBF Besancon (W)
Paris 92 (W)31-31ESBF Besancon (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)23-25Paris 92 (W)
Paris 92 (W)28-26ESBF Besancon (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)28-25Paris 92 (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)28-22Paris 92 (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paris 92 (W) 1458 · ESBF Besancon (W) 1505

	Paris 92 (W)	ESBF Besancon (W)
Our model	53%	47%
Market	34%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 58.5 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.5Paris 92 (W) 28.7 · ESBF Besancon (W) 29.8

Over / Under 55.5Over · 75%recent trend · ~58.3 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours Paris 92 (W): 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Paris 92 (W)	ESBF Besancon (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.3 / 31.9	28.8 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 34.6	28.6 / 25.4
Est. result	29	30

Est. total58.5

Line O/U55.5

Diff.3

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.60

X8.00

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.85

Under 55.51.85

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 58.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:55 +13’	1.85	8.00	2.30
16:28 +4’	2.90▲	8.00	1.55▼
15:28 +50’	2.60▼	8.00	1.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris 92 (W) 3–1–2 ESBF Besancon (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/03/26 France Division 1 Women	Paris 92 (W)	29-25	ESBF Besancon (W)
27/02/26 France Cup Women	Paris 92 (W)	31-31	ESBF Besancon (W)
25/10/25 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	23-25	Paris 92 (W)
26/02/25 France Division 1 Women	Paris 92 (W)	28-26	ESBF Besancon (W)
20/09/24 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	28-25	Paris 92 (W)
24/02/24 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	28-22	Paris 92 (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	5	5	0	0	194	121	15
2	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	5	3	0	2	135	129	11
3	Brest (W)	5	3	0	2	155	137	11
4	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	5	3	0	2	145	136	11
5	ESBF Besancon (W)	4	3	0	1	111	99	10
6	Strasbourg (W)	4	3	0	1	107	104	10
7	Chambray Touraine (W)	4	2	0	2	103	98	8
8	Plan De Cuques (W)	4	2	0	2	98	103	8
9	Nice (W)	5	1	0	4	127	151	7
10	Stella St Maur (W)	4	1	0	3	93	123	6
11	Toulon (W)	5	0	1	4	133	161	6
12	Paris 92 (W)	4	0	1	3	105	144	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paris 92 (W)	ESBF Besancon (W)
Brest (W)	24-37 L	21-28 L
Toulon (W)	32-32 D	38-35 W
Metz (W)	21-46 L	20-38 L
Stella St Maur (W)	32-29 W	36-22 W
Chambray Touraine (W)	25-27 L	28-24 W
Sambre Avesnois (W)	28-28 D	35-26 W
Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	28-31 L	26-34 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: ESBF Besancon (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paris 92 (W)

LDLLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	24-37	L
11/09	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	32-32	D
04/09	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	28-29	L
29/08	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	21-46	L
31/05	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	32-29	W
27/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	25-27	L
15/05	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	26-29	L
10/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	29-31	L
06/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	28-28	D
24/04	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-31	L

ESBF Besancon (W)

WLLLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	26-25	W
11/09	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	36-22	W
05/09	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	28-24	W
29/08	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	21-28	L
31/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	32-28	W
27/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	35-26	W
15/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	26-30	L
09/05	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	20-38	L
06/05	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	26-34	L
25/04	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	38-35	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paris 92 (W) vs ESBF Besancon (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Paris 92 (W) 45% · ESBF Besancon (W) 55%).

How many points are expected in Paris 92 (W) vs ESBF Besancon (W)?

The model estimates 58.5 total points (Paris 92 (W) 28.7 · ESBF Besancon (W) 29.8).

Over or under 55.5 points?

Recent history points to over 55.5 points (75%).