Handball · France Division 1 Women · 14/10, 19:00

Prediction: Brest (W) vs Toulon (W)

Team pages: Brest (W) · Toulon (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.2Total

Brest (W)31.8

Toulon (W)25.5

1X2

91% 9%

Brest (W) Toulon (W)

Markets

Under 64.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

Brest (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWL

Toulon (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDLL

Head-to-head

Brest (W) 6–0 Toulon (W) (6 last)

Toulon (W)30-35Brest (W)
Brest (W)33-18Toulon (W)
Toulon (W)23-35Brest (W)
Brest (W)32-20Toulon (W)
Toulon (W)20-36Brest (W)
Brest (W)31-23Toulon (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brest (W) 1589 · Toulon (W) 1432

	Brest (W)	Toulon (W)
Our model	79%	21%
Market	97%	1%

Estimated total (ours) 57.2 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -7.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.2Brest (W) 31.8 · Toulon (W) 25.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brest (W) (rating 1589 vs 1432).
Brest (W) is a clear favourite (91% market).
H2H favours Brest (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brest (W)	Toulon (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 25.7	26.6 / 30.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 27.4	26.6 / 32.2
Est. result	32	26

Est. total57.2

Line O/U64.5

Diff.7.3

Over / Under15% / 85%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

X55.00

267.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.85

2 (+14.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 7.55 · Est. total: 56.95

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00▲	Bet365 1.00
X	55.00 → 30.00▼	Bet365 30.00
2	67.00 → 30.00▼	Bet365 30.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:06 +10’	1.00	55.00	67.00
11:18 +58’	1.00	60.00▲	67.00
13:05 +11’	1.00▲	30.00▼	30.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brest (W) 6–0–0 Toulon (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 France Division 1 Women	Toulon (W)	30-35	Brest (W)
03/09/25 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	33-18	Toulon (W)
03/05/25 France Division 1 Women	Toulon (W)	23-35	Brest (W)
05/02/25 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	32-20	Toulon (W)
19/04/24 France Division 1 Women	Toulon (W)	20-36	Brest (W)
30/08/23 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	31-23	Toulon (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	5	5	0	0	194	121	15
2	ESBF Besancon (W)	5	4	0	1	146	124	13
3	Strasbourg (W)	5	3	1	1	135	132	12
4	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	5	3	0	2	145	136	11
5	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	5	3	0	2	135	129	11
6	Brest (W)	5	3	0	2	155	137	11
7	Chambray Touraine (W)	5	3	0	2	134	121	11
8	Plan De Cuques (W)	5	2	0	3	121	134	9
9	Stella St Maur (W)	5	1	1	3	121	151	8
10	Nice (W)	5	1	0	4	127	151	7
11	Toulon (W)	5	0	1	4	133	161	6
12	Paris 92 (W)	5	0	1	4	130	179	6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brest (W)	Toulon (W)
Metz (W)	31-33 L	28-43 L
Paris 92 (W)	37-24 W	32-32 D
Chambray Touraine (W)	28-25 W	22-26 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brest (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brest (W)

WWWWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	31-33	L
16/09	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	37-24	W
09/09	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	26-27	L
02/09	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	33-32	W
29/08	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-21	W
31/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	43-25	W
27/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	32-22	W
15/05	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	29-26	W
09/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	28-25	W
06/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	27-22	W

Toulon (W)

WLLLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	24-31	L
16/09	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	28-43	L
11/09	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	32-32	D
04/09	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	27-29	L
29/08	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	22-26	L
31/05	Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women	35-33	W
27/05	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	19-25	L
16/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	19-25	L
10/05	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	26-30	L
06/05	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	34-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brest (W) vs Toulon (W)?

Our model gives 91% to Brest (W).

How many points are expected in Brest (W) vs Toulon (W)?

The model estimates 57.2 total points (Brest (W) 31.8 · Toulon (W) 25.5).