Handball · Hungary NB1 Women · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: Vac (W) vs Esztergomi KC (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.5Total

Vac (W)28.7

Esztergomi KC (W)30.8

1X2

31% 69%

Vac (W) Esztergomi KC (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Vac (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLWWW

Esztergomi KC (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Vac (W) 0–1–4 Esztergomi KC (W) (5 last)

Vac (W)27-33Esztergomi KC (W)
Esztergomi KC (W)34-28Vac (W)
Vac (W)31-31Esztergomi KC (W)
Vac (W)29-30Esztergomi KC (W)
Esztergomi KC (W)27-25Vac (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vac (W) 1492 · Esztergomi KC (W) 1554

	Vac (W)	Esztergomi KC (W)
Our model	51%	49%
Market	17%	74%

Estimated total (ours) 59.5 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.5Vac (W) 28.7 · Esztergomi KC (W) 30.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esztergomi KC (W) (rating 1492 vs 1554).
Esztergomi KC (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours Esztergomi KC (W): 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vac (W)	Esztergomi KC (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 27.9	33.3 / 26.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.6 / 26.4	33.2 / 26.8
Est. result	29	31

Est. total59.5

Line O/U56.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.50

X10.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.85

2 (-4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 2.8 · Est. total: 59.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:46 +5’	5.50	10.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vac (W) 0–1–4 Esztergomi KC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/08/26 Club Friendlies Women	Vac (W)	27-33	Esztergomi KC (W)
18/04/26 Hungary NB1 Women	Esztergomi KC (W)	34-28	Vac (W)
12/11/25 Hungary NB1 Women	Vac (W)	31-31	Esztergomi KC (W)
16/03/25 Hungary NB1 Women	Vac (W)	29-30	Esztergomi KC (W)
16/10/24 Hungary NB1 Women	Esztergomi KC (W)	27-25	Vac (W)

Standings · Hungary NB1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	DVSC (W)	1	1	0	43	21	2
2	Gyor (W)	1	1	0	37	24	2
3	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	1	1	0	33	23	2
4	Fehervar KC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Kisvarda (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Esztergomi KC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	MTK Budapest (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Szombathelyi KKA (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Vac (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Vasas SC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Budaors (W)	1	0	1	23	33	0
13	NEKA (W)	1	0	1	24	37	0
14	Eszterhazy (W)	1	0	1	21	43	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vac (W)	Esztergomi KC (W)
Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	33-30 W	34-20 W
Szombathelyi KKA (W)	37-28 W	34-28 W
NEKA (W)	34-24 W	35-24 W
Vasas SC (W)	23-18 W	37-23 W
Fehervar KC (W)	26-27 L	31-23 W
Kozarmisleny SE (W)	38-25 W	41-18 W
Gyor (W)	29-43 L	29-39 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Esztergomi KC (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vac (W)

LWLWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	33-30	W
24/05	Szombathelyi KKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	37-28	W
16/05	NEKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-24	W
09/05	DVSC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-33	L
25/04	Dunaujvaros (W) Hungary NB1 Women	41-17	W
18/04	Esztergomi KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	28-34	L
04/04	Vasas SC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-18	W
28/03	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	26-27	L
21/03	Kozarmisleny SE (W) Hungary NB1 Women	38-25	W
14/03	Gyor (W) Hungary NB1 Women	29-43	L

Esztergomi KC (W)

WWWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Vasas SC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	37-23	W
24/05	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	31-23	W
08/05	Gyor (W) Hungary NB1 Women	29-39	L
30/04	Kozarmisleny SE (W) Hungary NB1 Women	41-18	W
28/04	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	28-31	L
18/04	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-28	W
03/04	Kisvarda (W) Hungary NB1 Women	30-28	W
25/03	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-20	W
18/03	Szombathelyi KKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-28	W
14/03	NEKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	35-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vac (W) vs Esztergomi KC (W)?

Our model gives 69% to Esztergomi KC (W).

How many points are expected in Vac (W) vs Esztergomi KC (W)?

The model estimates 59.5 total points (Vac (W) 28.7 · Esztergomi KC (W) 30.8).