Handball · Hungary NB1 Women · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Esztergomi KC (W) vs Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)

Team pages: Esztergomi KC (W) · Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.7Total

Esztergomi KC (W)31.6

Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)28

1X2

80% 20%

Esztergomi KC (W) Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Esztergomi KC (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDWWLL

Head-to-head

Esztergomi KC (W) 6–0 Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) (6 last)

Esztergomi KC (W)32-27Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)20-34Esztergomi KC (W)
Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)25-36Esztergomi KC (W)
Esztergomi KC (W)26-21Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
Esztergomi KC (W)35-30Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)31-32Esztergomi KC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Esztergomi KC (W) 1580 · Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) 1487

	Esztergomi KC (W)	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
Our model	72%	28%
Market	80%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 59.7 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.7Esztergomi KC (W) 31.6 · Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) 28

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esztergomi KC (W) (rating 1580 vs 1487).
Esztergomi KC (W) is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Esztergomi KC (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Esztergomi KC (W)	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34 / 26.7	30.7 / 28.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36 / 26.4	31.8 / 30.2
Est. result	32	28

Est. total59.7

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.13

X12.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.80

2 (+5.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 1.6 · Est. total: 60.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:48 +4’	1.13	12.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Esztergomi KC (W) 6–0–0 Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 European League Women	Esztergomi KC (W)	32-27	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
25/03/26 Hungary NB1 Women	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	20-34	Esztergomi KC (W)
21/03/26 European League Women	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	25-36	Esztergomi KC (W)
25/10/25 Hungary NB1 Women	Esztergomi KC (W)	26-21	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
10/05/25 Hungary NB1 Women	Esztergomi KC (W)	35-30	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
03/01/25 Hungary NB1 Women	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	31-32	Esztergomi KC (W)

Standings · Hungary NB1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	2	2	0	72	45	4
2	Gyor (W)	2	2	0	74	52	4
3	DVSC (W)	1	1	0	43	21	2
4	Esztergomi KC (W)	1	1	0	42	29	2
5	Vasas SC (W)	1	1	0	24	21	2
6	Kisvarda (W)	1	1	0	28	27	2
7	MTK Budapest (W)	2	1	1	58	65	2
8	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	1	0	1	27	28	0
9	Szombathelyi KKA (W)	1	0	1	28	30	0
10	Fehervar KC (W)	1	0	1	21	24	0
11	Budaors (W)	1	0	1	23	33	0
12	Vac (W)	1	0	1	29	42	0
13	Eszterhazy (W)	1	0	1	21	43	0
14	NEKA (W)	2	0	2	46	76	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Esztergomi KC (W)	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)
Vac (W)	42-29 W	30-33 L
Vasas SC (W)	37-23 W	25-25 D
Kisvarda (W)	30-28 W	27-28 L
Szombathelyi KKA (W)	34-28 W	31-31 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Esztergomi KC (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Esztergomi KC (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	42-29	W
31/05	Vasas SC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	37-23	W
24/05	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	31-23	W
08/05	Gyor (W) Hungary NB1 Women	29-39	L
30/04	Kozarmisleny SE (W) Hungary NB1 Women	41-18	W
28/04	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	28-31	L
18/04	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-28	W
03/04	Kisvarda (W) Hungary NB1 Women	30-28	W
25/03	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-20	W
18/03	Szombathelyi KKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-28	W

Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Kisvarda (W) Hungary NB1 Women	27-28	L
31/05	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	30-33	L
24/05	Kisvarda (W) Hungary NB1 Women	37-27	W
15/05	Budaors (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-32	W
09/05	Szombathelyi KKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	31-31	D
25/04	NEKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	40-27	W
18/04	DVSC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-36	L
02/04	Dunaujvaros (W) Hungary NB1 Women	40-15	W
25/03	Esztergomi KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	20-34	L
18/03	Vasas SC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	25-25	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Esztergomi KC (W) vs Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)?

Our model gives 80% to Esztergomi KC (W).

How many points are expected in Esztergomi KC (W) vs Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)?

The model estimates 59.7 total points (Esztergomi KC (W) 31.6 · Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) 28).