Handball · Hungary NB1 Women · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: Vasas SC (W) vs Vac (W)

Team pages: Vasas SC (W) · Vac (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.3Total

Vasas SC (W)27.3

Vac (W)30

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Vasas SC (W) Vac (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Vasas SC (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLLLW

Vac (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Vasas SC (W) 1–5 Vac (W) (6 last)

Vasas SC (W)18-23Vac (W)
Vasas SC (W)27-36Vac (W)
Vac (W)25-22Vasas SC (W)
Vac (W)34-26Vasas SC (W)
Vac (W)29-22Vasas SC (W)
Vasas SC (W)26-23Vac (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vasas SC (W) 1449 · Vac (W) 1491

	Vasas SC (W)	Vac (W)
Our model	54%	46%
Market	52%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 57.3 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.3Vasas SC (W) 27.3 · Vac (W) 30

Match keys

H2H favours Vac (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vasas SC (W)	Vac (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.5 / 28.9	31.2 / 27.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27 / 29	31.2 / 31.4
Est. result	27	30

Est. total57.3

Line O/U55.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.75

X8.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.75

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.85

Under 55.51.85

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 57.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:47 +7’	1.75	8.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasas SC (W) 1–0–5 Vac (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Hungary NB1 Women	Vasas SC (W)	18-23	Vac (W)
08/02/25 Hungary NB1 Women	Vasas SC (W)	27-36	Vac (W)
14/09/24 Hungary NB1 Women	Vac (W)	25-22	Vasas SC (W)
21/08/24 Club Friendlies Women	Vac (W)	34-26	Vasas SC (W)
27/04/24 Hungary NB1 Women	Vac (W)	29-22	Vasas SC (W)
28/10/23 Hungary NB1 Women	Vasas SC (W)	26-23	Vac (W)

Standings · Hungary NB1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	2	2	0	72	45	4
2	Gyor (W)	2	2	0	74	52	4
3	DVSC (W)	1	1	0	43	21	2
4	Esztergomi KC (W)	1	1	0	42	29	2
5	Vasas SC (W)	1	1	0	24	21	2
6	Kisvarda (W)	1	1	0	28	27	2
7	MTK Budapest (W)	2	1	1	58	65	2
8	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	1	0	1	27	28	0
9	Szombathelyi KKA (W)	1	0	1	28	30	0
10	Fehervar KC (W)	1	0	1	21	24	0
11	Budaors (W)	1	0	1	23	33	0
12	Vac (W)	1	0	1	29	42	0
13	Eszterhazy (W)	1	0	1	21	43	0
14	NEKA (W)	2	0	2	46	76	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vasas SC (W)	Vac (W)
Fehervar KC (W)	24-21 W	26-27 L
Esztergomi KC (W)	23-37 L	29-42 L
Kozarmisleny SE (W)	41-27 W	38-25 W
Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	25-25 D	33-30 W
Szombathelyi KKA (W)	36-33 W	37-28 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vac (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasas SC (W)

WDLLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	24-21	W
31/05	Esztergomi KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-37	L
24/05	Budaors (W) Hungary NB1 Women	24-31	L
16/05	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-29	L
09/05	Kozarmisleny SE (W) Hungary NB1 Women	41-27	W
15/04	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	25-36	L
04/04	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	18-23	L
28/03	Kisvarda (W) Hungary NB1 Women	26-27	L
18/03	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	25-25	D
14/03	Szombathelyi KKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	36-33	W

Vac (W)

WLWLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Esztergomi KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	29-42	L
31/05	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	33-30	W
24/05	Szombathelyi KKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	37-28	W
16/05	NEKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-24	W
09/05	DVSC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-33	L
25/04	Dunaujvaros (W) Hungary NB1 Women	41-17	W
18/04	Esztergomi KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	28-34	L
04/04	Vasas SC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-18	W
28/03	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	26-27	L
21/03	Kozarmisleny SE (W) Hungary NB1 Women	38-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasas SC (W) vs Vac (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Vasas SC (W) 57% · Vac (W) 43%).

How many points are expected in Vasas SC (W) vs Vac (W)?

The model estimates 57.3 total points (Vasas SC (W) 27.3 · Vac (W) 30).