Handball · Hungary NB1 Women · 19/09, 18:00

Prediction: Esztergomi KC (W) vs Vasas SC (W)

Team pages: Esztergomi KC (W) · Vasas SC (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.1Total

Esztergomi KC (W)31.7

Vasas SC (W)25.4

1X2

86% 14%

Esztergomi KC (W) Vasas SC (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Esztergomi KC (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWWWW

Vasas SC (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Esztergomi KC (W) 3–0 Vasas SC (W) (3 last)

Vasas SC (W)23-37Esztergomi KC (W)
Esztergomi KC (W)26-24Vasas SC (W)
Esztergomi KC (W)30-26Vasas SC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Esztergomi KC (W) 1567 · Vasas SC (W) 1426

	Esztergomi KC (W)	Vasas SC (W)
Our model	77%	23%
Market	87%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 57.1 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.1Esztergomi KC (W) 31.7 · Vasas SC (W) 25.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esztergomi KC (W) (rating 1567 vs 1426).
Esztergomi KC (W) is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours Esztergomi KC (W): 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Esztergomi KC (W)	Vasas SC (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.8 / 26.4	25.5 / 28.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36.2 / 27.8	24 / 29.4
Est. result	32	25

Est. total57.1

Line O/U60.5

Diff.3.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.03

X16.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 2.9 · Est. total: 57.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Bet365 1.03
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +1’	1.03	16.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Esztergomi KC (W) 3–0–0 Vasas SC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Hungary NB1 Women	Vasas SC (W)	23-37	Esztergomi KC (W)
31/01/26 Hungary NB1 Women	Esztergomi KC (W)	26-24	Vasas SC (W)
22/02/25 Hungary NB1 Women	Esztergomi KC (W)	30-26	Vasas SC (W)

Standings · Hungary NB1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyor (W)	3	3	0	0	110	66	6
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	3	3	0	0	109	70	6
3	Esztergomi KC (W)	2	2	0	0	84	54	4
4	DVSC (W)	2	2	0	0	72	43	4
5	Kisvarda (W)	3	1	1	1	71	92	3
6	Vac (W)	2	1	0	1	58	68	2
7	Budaors (W)	2	1	0	1	57	58	2
8	MTK Budapest (W)	3	1	0	2	83	102	2
9	Vasas SC (W)	2	1	0	1	50	50	2
10	Szombathelyi KKA (W)	2	0	1	1	57	59	1
11	Fehervar KC (W)	2	0	0	2	43	53	0
12	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	2	0	0	2	52	70	0
13	NEKA (W)	2	0	0	2	46	76	0
14	Eszterhazy (W)	2	0	0	2	46	77	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Esztergomi KC (W)	Vasas SC (W)
Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	42-25 W	25-25 D
Vac (W)	42-29 W	26-29 L
Fehervar KC (W)	31-23 W	24-21 W
Kozarmisleny SE (W)	41-18 W	41-27 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	28-31 L	25-36 L
Kisvarda (W)	30-28 W	26-27 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Esztergomi KC (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Esztergomi KC (W)

WWWLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	42-25	W
05/09	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	42-29	W
31/05	Vasas SC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	37-23	W
24/05	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	31-23	W
08/05	Gyor (W) Hungary NB1 Women	29-39	L
30/04	Kozarmisleny SE (W) Hungary NB1 Women	41-18	W
28/04	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	28-31	L
18/04	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-28	W
03/04	Kisvarda (W) Hungary NB1 Women	30-28	W
25/03	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-20	W

Vasas SC (W)

DLLLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	26-29	L
05/09	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	24-21	W
31/05	Esztergomi KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-37	L
24/05	Budaors (W) Hungary NB1 Women	24-31	L
16/05	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-29	L
09/05	Kozarmisleny SE (W) Hungary NB1 Women	41-27	W
15/04	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	25-36	L
04/04	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	18-23	L
28/03	Kisvarda (W) Hungary NB1 Women	26-27	L
18/03	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	25-25	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Esztergomi KC (W) vs Vasas SC (W)?

Our model gives 86% to Esztergomi KC (W).

How many points are expected in Esztergomi KC (W) vs Vasas SC (W)?

The model estimates 57.1 total points (Esztergomi KC (W) 31.7 · Vasas SC (W) 25.4).