Handball · Hungary NB1 · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: Csurgoi KK vs Tatabanya

Team pages: Csurgoi KK · Tatabanya

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.9Total

Csurgoi KK29

Tatabanya28.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Csurgoi KK Tatabanya

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Csurgoi KK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWDWWL

Tatabanya 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWDLD

Head-to-head

Csurgoi KK 1–2–3 Tatabanya (6 last)

Tatabanya26-27Csurgoi KK
Csurgoi KK30-34Tatabanya
Tatabanya31-28Csurgoi KK
Csurgoi KK28-37Tatabanya
Csurgoi KK27-27Tatabanya
Csurgoi KK26-26Tatabanya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Csurgoi KK 1504 · Tatabanya 1513

	Csurgoi KK	Tatabanya
Our model	59%	41%
Market	39%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 57.9 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.9Csurgoi KK 29 · Tatabanya 28.9

Match keys

H2H favours Tatabanya: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Csurgoi KK	Tatabanya
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.9 / 28.3	30.8 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 26.6	29.6 / 27
Est. result	29	29

Est. total57.9

Line O/U56.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.35

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.95

Under 56.51.75

Diff.: 1.5 · Est. total: 58

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.35▼	Bet365 2.35
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.60 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +16’	2.80	8.00	1.60
12:10 +7’	2.35▼	8.00	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Csurgoi KK 1–2–3 Tatabanya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Hungary NB1	Tatabanya	26-27	Csurgoi KK
13/09/25 Hungary NB1	Csurgoi KK	30-34	Tatabanya
26/04/25 Hungary NB1	Tatabanya	31-28	Csurgoi KK
23/11/24 Hungary NB1	Csurgoi KK	28-37	Tatabanya
15/05/24 Hungary NB1	Csurgoi KK	27-27	Tatabanya
07/02/24 Hungary Cup	Csurgoi KK	26-26	Tatabanya

Standings · Hungary NB1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pick Szeged	8	7	0	1	301	221	14
2	Veszprem	5	5	0	0	212	128	10
3	Csurgoi KK	5	3	1	1	146	133	7
4	Ferencvaros	6	3	0	3	177	206	6
5	Tatabanya	5	2	2	1	148	135	6
6	PLER Budapest	5	2	2	1	144	137	6
7	Gyongyos	6	2	1	3	169	197	5
8	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	5	2	1	2	154	137	5
9	NEKA	5	2	1	2	133	143	5
10	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	5	1	2	2	138	151	4
11	Balatonfuredi KSE	5	2	0	3	141	162	4
12	Dabas	5	2	0	3	148	180	4
13	Budai Farkasok-Rev	5	0	0	5	130	144	0
14	Eger	6	0	0	6	150	217	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Csurgoi KK	Tatabanya
Pick Szeged	26-36 L	32-31 W
Gyongyos	41-30 W	35-22 W
Budai Farkasok-Rev	29-27 W	41-34 W
PLER Budapest	23-23 D	31-29 W
Balatonfuredi KSE	27-27 D	26-27 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tatabanya (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Csurgoi KK

DLLLLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/10	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	26-36	L
26/09	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	41-30	W
19/09	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	29-27	W
12/09	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	23-23	D
05/09	Eger Hungary NB1	27-17	W
20/05	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	22-23	L
10/05	Komlo Hungary NB1	28-31	L
30/04	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	26-28	L
23/04	Veszprem Hungary NB1	30-41	L
11/04	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	27-27	D

Tatabanya

WWLWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	31-31	D
26/09	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	26-27	L
18/09	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	24-24	D
13/09	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	32-31	W
06/09	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	35-22	W
20/05	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	41-34	W
10/05	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	31-29	W
06/05	Ferencvaros Hungary NB1	32-38	L
22/04	Budakalasz Hungary NB1	31-30	W
10/04	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	25-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Csurgoi KK vs Tatabanya?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Csurgoi KK 50% · Tatabanya 50%).

How many points are expected in Csurgoi KK vs Tatabanya?

The model estimates 57.9 total points (Csurgoi KK 29 · Tatabanya 28.9).