Handball · Hungary NB1 · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: Tatabanya vs NEKA
Prediction summary
Estimated points
60.8Total
Tatabanya32.7
NEKA28.1
1X2
Tatabanya
NEKA
Markets
Over 55.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Tatabanya
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
NEKA
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tatabanya
5–1
NEKA
(6 last)
- NEKA20-25Tatabanya
- Tatabanya36-29NEKA
- NEKA25-31Tatabanya
- NEKA25-30Tatabanya
- NEKA36-28Tatabanya
- Tatabanya39-33NEKA
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatabanya 1543 · NEKA 1450
| Tatabanya | NEKA | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 78% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
60.8 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +5.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points60.8Tatabanya 32.7 · NEKA 28.1
Over / Under 55.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~60.8 pts · strength 5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatabanya (rating 1543 vs 1450).
- Tatabanya is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours Tatabanya: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tatabanya | NEKA | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 31.3 / 29.2 | 28.9 / 33.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 28.6 / 27.8 | 28.2 / 28.6 |
| Est. result | 33 | 28 |
Est. total60.8
Line O/U55.5
Diff.5.3
Over / Under65% / 35%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tatabanya 5–0–1 NEKA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Hungary Cup | NEKA | 20-25 | Tatabanya |
| 01/04/26 Hungary NB1 | Tatabanya | 36-29 | NEKA |
| 12/11/25 Hungary NB1 | NEKA | 25-31 | Tatabanya |
| 19/03/25 Hungary Cup | NEKA | 25-30 | Tatabanya |
| 15/02/25 Hungary NB1 | NEKA | 36-28 | Tatabanya |
| 13/09/24 Hungary NB1 | Tatabanya | 39-33 | NEKA |
Standings · Hungary NB1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pick Szeged | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 341 | 250 | 16 |
| 2 | Veszprem | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 128 | 10 |
| 3 | Ferencvaros | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 209 | 235 | 8 |
| 4 | Tatabanya | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 178 | 161 | 8 |
| 5 | PLER Budapest | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 155 | 8 |
| 6 | Csurgoi KK | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 163 | 7 |
| 7 | Gyori ETO-UNI FKC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 188 | 168 | 7 |
| 8 | Gyongyos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 203 | 228 | 7 |
| 9 | Balatonfuredi KSE | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 171 | 185 | 6 |
| 10 | NEKA | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 162 | 183 | 5 |
| 11 | Szigetszentmiklosi KSK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 161 | 181 | 4 |
| 12 | Dabas | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 179 | 214 | 4 |
| 13 | Budai Farkasok-Rev | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 159 | 176 | 0 |
| 14 | Eger | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 199 | 288 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tatabanya | NEKA |
|---|---|---|
| Szigetszentmiklosi KSK | 31-31 D | 36-31 W |
| Balatonfuredi KSE | 26-27 L | 34-31 W |
| Pick Szeged | 32-31 W | 29-40 L |
| Gyongyos | 35-22 W | 25-28 L |
| Budai Farkasok-Rev | 41-34 W | 32-26 W |
| PLER Budapest | 31-29 W | 27-27 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tatabanya (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatabanya
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1 |
30-26 | W |
| 10/10 | Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1 |
31-31 | D |
| 26/09 | Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1 |
26-27 | L |
| 18/09 | Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1 |
24-24 | D |
| 13/09 | Pick Szeged Hungary NB1 |
32-31 | W |
| 06/09 | Gyongyos Hungary NB1 |
35-22 | W |
| 20/05 | Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1 |
41-34 | W |
| 10/05 | PLER Budapest Hungary NB1 |
31-29 | W |
| 06/05 | Ferencvaros Hungary NB1 |
32-38 | L |
| 22/04 | Budakalasz Hungary NB1 |
31-30 | W |
NEKA
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Pick Szeged Hungary NB1 |
29-40 | L |
| 10/10 | Gyongyos Hungary NB1 |
25-28 | L |
| 26/09 | Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1 |
32-26 | W |
| 18/09 | PLER Budapest Hungary NB1 |
27-27 | D |
| 12/09 | Eger Hungary NB1 |
28-22 | W |
| 04/09 | Veszprem Hungary NB1 |
21-40 | L |
| 20/05 | Veszprem Hungary NB1 |
40-51 | L |
| 10/05 | Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1 |
34-31 | W |
| 02/05 | Pick Szeged Hungary NB1 |
17-42 | L |
| 25/04 | Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1 |
36-31 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatabanya vs NEKA?
Our model gives 80% to Tatabanya.
How many points are expected in Tatabanya vs NEKA?
The model estimates 60.8 total points (Tatabanya 32.7 · NEKA 28.1).
Over or under 55.5 points?
Recent history points to over 55.5 points (65%).