Handball · Hungary NB1 · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Gyongyos vs Ferencvaros

Team pages: Gyongyos · Ferencvaros

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.5Total

Gyongyos31.7

Ferencvaros30.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

Gyongyos Ferencvaros

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Gyongyos 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDLLWW

Ferencvaros 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Gyongyos 0–6 Ferencvaros (6 last)

Gyongyos27-28Ferencvaros
Ferencvaros42-31Gyongyos
Gyongyos34-41Ferencvaros
Ferencvaros38-32Gyongyos
Ferencvaros35-30Gyongyos
Ferencvaros32-26Gyongyos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyongyos 1519 · Ferencvaros 1508

	Gyongyos	Ferencvaros
Our model	61%	39%
Market	30%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 62.5 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.5Gyongyos 31.7 · Ferencvaros 30.7

Match keys

H2H favours Ferencvaros: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Gyongyos	Ferencvaros
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.9 / 31	31 / 33.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 32	28.8 / 32.8
Est. result	32	31

Est. total62.5

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.00

X8.50

21.52

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 62.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.52 → 1.52	Bet365 1.52

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:56 +24’	3.00	8.50	1.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyongyos 0–0–6 Ferencvaros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Hungary NB1	Gyongyos	27-28	Ferencvaros
03/10/25 Hungary NB1	Ferencvaros	42-31	Gyongyos
08/02/25 Hungary NB1	Gyongyos	34-41	Ferencvaros
27/11/24 Hungary NB1	Ferencvaros	38-32	Gyongyos
27/02/24 Hungary NB1	Ferencvaros	35-30	Gyongyos
30/01/24 Hungary Cup	Ferencvaros	32-26	Gyongyos

Standings · Hungary NB1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pick Szeged	9	8	0	1	341	250	16
2	Veszprem	5	5	0	0	212	128	10
3	Ferencvaros	7	4	0	3	209	235	8
4	Tatabanya	6	3	2	1	178	161	8
5	PLER Budapest	6	3	2	1	181	155	8
6	Csurgoi KK	6	3	1	2	172	163	7
7	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	6	3	1	2	188	168	7
8	Gyongyos	7	3	1	3	203	228	7
9	Balatonfuredi KSE	6	3	0	3	171	185	6
10	NEKA	6	2	1	3	162	183	5
11	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	6	1	2	3	161	181	4
12	Dabas	6	2	0	4	179	214	4
13	Budai Farkasok-Rev	6	0	0	6	159	176	0
14	Eger	8	0	0	8	199	288	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyongyos	Ferencvaros
Dabas	34-31 W	39-29 W
Pick Szeged	27-36 L	27-35 L
Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	27-27 D	36-31 W
Tatabanya	22-35 L	38-32 W
Budai Farkasok-Rev	36-30 W	32-29 W
PLER Budapest	27-30 L	32-30 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvaros (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyongyos

LWWLWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Dabas Hungary NB1	34-31	W
10/10	NEKA Hungary NB1	28-25	W
28/09	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	27-36	L
26/09	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	30-41	L
19/09	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	27-27	D
12/09	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	35-33	W
06/09	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	22-35	L
20/05	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	23-22	W
10/05	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	36-30	W
02/05	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	27-30	L

Ferencvaros

WWLWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	32-29	W
09/10	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	32-30	W
02/10	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	27-35	L
27/09	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	22-40	L
25/09	Eger Hungary NB1	31-30	W
18/09	Veszprem Hungary NB1	26-42	L
04/09	Dabas Hungary NB1	39-29	W
20/05	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	27-37	L
10/05	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	36-31	W
06/05	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	38-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyongyos vs Ferencvaros?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Gyongyos 45% · Ferencvaros 55%).

How many points are expected in Gyongyos vs Ferencvaros?

The model estimates 62.5 total points (Gyongyos 31.7 · Ferencvaros 30.7).