Handball · Hungary NB1 · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: NEKA vs Balatonfuredi KSE

Team pages: NEKA · Balatonfuredi KSE

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.7Total

NEKA28.3

Balatonfuredi KSE29.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

NEKA Balatonfuredi KSE

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

NEKA 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWLLL

Balatonfuredi KSE 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWLWD

Head-to-head

NEKA 2–4 Balatonfuredi KSE (6 last)

NEKA34-31Balatonfuredi KSE
NEKA25-24Balatonfuredi KSE
Balatonfuredi KSE29-24NEKA
NEKA29-32Balatonfuredi KSE
Balatonfuredi KSE40-24NEKA
Balatonfuredi KSE28-24NEKA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NEKA 1459 · Balatonfuredi KSE 1492

	NEKA	Balatonfuredi KSE
Our model	55%	45%
Market	36%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 57.7 points · Bet365 line 53.5 · +4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.7NEKA 28.3 · Balatonfuredi KSE 29.4

Match keys

H2H favours Balatonfuredi KSE: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	NEKA	Balatonfuredi KSE
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.6 / 33.7	29 / 29.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.2 / 30.2	26.4 / 29.6
Est. result	28	29

Est. total57.7

Line O/U53.5

Diff.4.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

X7.50

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 53.52.00

Under 53.51.72

Diff.: 6.3 · Est. total: 59.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:52 +33’	2.55	7.50	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NEKA 2–0–4 Balatonfuredi KSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB1	NEKA	34-31	Balatonfuredi KSE
03/02/26 Hungary Cup	NEKA	25-24	Balatonfuredi KSE
06/12/25 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	29-24	NEKA
01/03/25 Hungary NB1	NEKA	29-32	Balatonfuredi KSE
29/09/24 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	40-24	NEKA
17/02/24 Hungary NB1	Balatonfuredi KSE	28-24	NEKA

Standings · Hungary NB1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pick Szeged	10	9	0	1	385	281	18
2	Veszprem	6	6	0	0	246	151	12
3	Tatabanya	7	4	2	1	208	184	10
4	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	7	4	1	2	222	199	9
5	Gyongyos	8	4	1	3	245	260	9
6	Ferencvaros	8	4	0	4	241	277	8
7	Csurgoi KK	7	3	2	2	195	186	8
8	PLER Budapest	6	3	2	1	181	155	8
9	Balatonfuredi KSE	7	3	1	3	194	208	7
10	NEKA	7	2	1	4	185	213	5
11	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	7	1	2	4	192	215	4
12	Dabas	7	2	0	5	210	258	4
13	Budai Farkasok-Rev	7	0	0	7	182	210	0
14	Eger	8	0	0	8	199	288	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NEKA	Balatonfuredi KSE
Tatabanya	23-30 L	27-26 W
Pick Szeged	29-40 L	28-38 L
Gyongyos	25-28 L	33-35 L
Budai Farkasok-Rev	32-26 W	29-25 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Balatonfuredi KSE (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NEKA

LWLLWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	23-30	L
18/10	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	29-40	L
10/10	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	25-28	L
26/09	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	32-26	W
18/09	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	27-27	D
12/09	Eger Hungary NB1	28-22	W
04/09	Veszprem Hungary NB1	21-40	L
20/05	Veszprem Hungary NB1	40-51	L
10/05	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	34-31	W
02/05	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	17-42	L

Balatonfuredi KSE

WLWWLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	23-23	D
16/10	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	30-23	W
09/10	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	24-38	L
26/09	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	27-26	W
20/09	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	28-38	L
12/09	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	33-35	L
04/09	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	29-25	W
20/05	Budakalasz Hungary NB1	35-24	W
10/05	NEKA Hungary NB1	31-34	L
02/05	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	30-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NEKA vs Balatonfuredi KSE?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (NEKA 47% · Balatonfuredi KSE 53%).

How many points are expected in NEKA vs Balatonfuredi KSE?

The model estimates 57.7 total points (NEKA 28.3 · Balatonfuredi KSE 29.4).