Handball · Romania Liga Nationala · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: HC Minaur Baia Mare vs Potaissa Turda

Team pages: HC Minaur Baia Mare · Potaissa Turda

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.7Total

HC Minaur Baia Mare30.4

Potaissa Turda27.3

1X2

68% 32%

HC Minaur Baia Mare Potaissa Turda

Recent form · 10 last

HC Minaur Baia Mare 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWLLWW

Potaissa Turda 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWDL

Head-to-head

HC Minaur Baia Mare 1–1–4 Potaissa Turda (6 last)

HC Minaur Baia Mare28-30Potaissa Turda
Potaissa Turda23-23HC Minaur Baia Mare
HC Minaur Baia Mare25-27Potaissa Turda
Potaissa Turda31-27HC Minaur Baia Mare
HC Minaur Baia Mare29-28Potaissa Turda
HC Minaur Baia Mare31-36Potaissa Turda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Minaur Baia Mare 1558 · Potaissa Turda 1503

	HC Minaur Baia Mare	Potaissa Turda
Our model	67%	33%
Market	60%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 57.7 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · +5.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.7HC Minaur Baia Mare 30.4 · Potaissa Turda 27.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Minaur Baia Mare (rating 1558 vs 1503).
HC Minaur Baia Mare is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Potaissa Turda: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Minaur Baia Mare	Potaissa Turda
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.8 / 28	29.2 / 29.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 26.6	26.6 / 27.2
Est. result	30	27

Est. total57.7

Line O/U52.5

Diff.5.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

X8.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.95

2 (+2.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 52.51.85

Under 52.51.85

Diff.: 6.2 · Est. total: 58.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:18 +1’	1.50	8.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Minaur Baia Mare 1–1–4 Potaissa Turda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Romania Liga Nationala	HC Minaur Baia Mare	28-30	Potaissa Turda
29/11/25 Romania Liga Nationala	Potaissa Turda	23-23	HC Minaur Baia Mare
23/04/25 Romania Liga Nationala	HC Minaur Baia Mare	25-27	Potaissa Turda
15/10/24 Romania Liga Nationala	Potaissa Turda	31-27	HC Minaur Baia Mare
24/08/24 Romania Super Cup	HC Minaur Baia Mare	29-28	Potaissa Turda
11/08/24 Club Friendlies	HC Minaur Baia Mare	31-36	Potaissa Turda

Standings · Romania Liga Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Bucuresti	2	2	0	0	79	57	4
2	HC Minaur Baia Mare	2	2	0	0	65	45	4
3	CSU Suceava	2	2	0	0	62	51	4
4	Dinamo Bucuresti	2	2	0	0	53	45	4
5	Poli Timisoara	2	1	1	0	53	47	3
6	HC Buzau	2	1	0	1	61	61	2
7	HC Vaslui	2	1	0	1	48	50	2
8	Potaissa Turda	2	0	1	1	44	49	1
9	CSM Constanta	2	0	0	2	45	47	0
10	Steaua Bucuresti	2	0	0	2	52	65	0
11	CS Universitatea Cluj	2	0	0	2	46	62	0
12	Teutonii Ghimbav	2	0	0	2	60	89	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Minaur Baia Mare	Potaissa Turda
CSM Bucuresti	29-33 L	23-28 L
CSM Sighisoara	37-25 W	35-29 W
HC Buzau	28-36 L	39-33 W
Dinamo Bucuresti	28-25 W	27-40 L
Poli Timisoara	24-22 W	21-21 D
HC Vaslui	35-35 D	31-30 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HC Minaur Baia Mare (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Minaur Baia Mare

DWWWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Teutonii Ghimbav Romania Liga Nationala	38-26	W
05/09	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	27-19	W
24/05	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	29-33	L
07/05	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	28-30	L
25/04	CSM Sighisoara Romania Liga Nationala	37-25	W
22/04	HC Buzau Romania Liga Nationala	28-36	L
09/04	Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	28-25	W
29/03	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	34-29	W
01/03	Poli Timisoara Romania Liga Nationala	24-22	W
22/02	HC Vaslui Romania Liga Nationala	35-35	D

Potaissa Turda

WLWWLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	23-28	L
05/09	Poli Timisoara Romania Liga Nationala	21-21	D
24/05	HC Vaslui Romania Liga Nationala	31-30	W
07/05	HC Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga Nationala	30-28	W
25/04	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	28-29	L
10/04	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	27-29	L
04/04	CSM Constanta Romania Liga Nationala	31-27	W
27/03	CSM Sighisoara Romania Liga Nationala	35-29	W
08/03	Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	27-40	L
28/02	HC Buzau Romania Liga Nationala	39-33	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Minaur Baia Mare vs Potaissa Turda?

Our model gives 68% to HC Minaur Baia Mare.

How many points are expected in HC Minaur Baia Mare vs Potaissa Turda?

The model estimates 57.7 total points (HC Minaur Baia Mare 30.4 · Potaissa Turda 27.3).