Handball · Romania Liga Nationala · 25/09, 17:00

Prediction: HC Buzau vs Dinamo Bucuresti

Team pages: HC Buzau · Dinamo Bucuresti

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.9Total

HC Buzau30.3

Dinamo Bucuresti31.6

1X2

29% 71%

HC Buzau Dinamo Bucuresti

Recent form · 10 last

HC Buzau 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLWWL

Dinamo Bucuresti 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

HC Buzau 1–5 Dinamo Bucuresti (6 last)

Dinamo Bucuresti33-25HC Buzau
Dinamo Bucuresti36-27HC Buzau
HC Buzau32-31Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti30-26HC Buzau
HC Buzau24-30Dinamo Bucuresti
HC Buzau27-35Dinamo Bucuresti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Buzau 1524 · Dinamo Bucuresti 1604

	HC Buzau	Dinamo Bucuresti
Our model	49%	51%
Market	14%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 61.9 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.9HC Buzau 30.3 · Dinamo Bucuresti 31.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Bucuresti (rating 1524 vs 1604).
Dinamo Bucuresti is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Dinamo Bucuresti: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Buzau	Dinamo Bucuresti
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.4 / 30.5	34 / 27.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.2 / 29	33.6 / 27.8
Est. result	30	32

Est. total61.9

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

X12.00

21.16

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.75 · Est. total: 62.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.15 → 1.16▲	Bet365 1.16

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:47 +22’	6.50	12.00	1.15
13:55 +8’	6.50	12.00	1.16▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Buzau 1–0–5 Dinamo Bucuresti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Romania Super Cup	Dinamo Bucuresti	33-25	HC Buzau
02/05/26 Romania Liga Nationala	Dinamo Bucuresti	36-27	HC Buzau
13/09/25 Romania Liga Nationala	HC Buzau	32-31	Dinamo Bucuresti
23/02/25 Romania Liga Nationala	Dinamo Bucuresti	30-26	HC Buzau
22/09/24 Romania Liga Nationala	HC Buzau	24-30	Dinamo Bucuresti
10/04/24 Romania Liga Nationala	HC Buzau	27-35	Dinamo Bucuresti

Standings · Romania Liga Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Bucuresti	2	2	0	0	79	57	4
2	HC Minaur Baia Mare	2	2	0	0	65	45	4
3	CSU Suceava	2	2	0	0	62	51	4
4	Dinamo Bucuresti	2	2	0	0	53	45	4
5	Poli Timisoara	2	1	1	0	53	47	3
6	HC Buzau	2	1	0	1	61	61	2
7	HC Vaslui	2	1	0	1	48	50	2
8	Potaissa Turda	2	0	1	1	44	49	1
9	CSM Constanta	2	0	0	2	45	47	0
10	Steaua Bucuresti	2	0	0	2	52	65	0
11	CS Universitatea Cluj	2	0	0	2	46	62	0
12	Teutonii Ghimbav	2	0	0	2	60	89	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Buzau	Dinamo Bucuresti
Poli Timisoara	26-32 L	36-35 W
Steaua Bucuresti	35-29 W	30-23 W
HC Minaur Baia Mare	36-28 W	25-28 L
CSU Suceava	31-33 L	37-24 W
HC Vaslui	29-35 L	43-32 W
CSM Bucuresti	29-25 W	38-30 W
Potaissa Turda	33-39 L	40-27 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Bucuresti (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Buzau

LWLLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	Poli Timisoara Romania Liga Nationala	26-32	L
04/09	Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	35-29	W
24/05	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	47-24	W
02/05	Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	27-36	L
26/04	Poli Timisoara Romania Liga Nationala	31-24	W
22/04	HC Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga Nationala	36-28	W
15/04	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	31-33	L
09/04	HC Vaslui Romania Liga Nationala	29-35	L
07/03	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	29-25	W
28/02	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	33-39	L

Dinamo Bucuresti

WWWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	30-23	W
03/09	CSM Constanta Romania Liga Nationala	23-22	W
07/05	Poli Timisoara Romania Liga Nationala	36-35	W
02/05	HC Buzau Romania Liga Nationala	36-27	W
25/04	HC Vaslui Romania Liga Nationala	43-32	W
09/04	HC Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga Nationala	25-28	L
03/04	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	37-24	W
30/03	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	38-30	W
08/03	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	40-27	W
28/02	CSM Sighisoara Romania Liga Nationala	32-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Buzau vs Dinamo Bucuresti?

Our model gives 71% to Dinamo Bucuresti.

How many points are expected in HC Buzau vs Dinamo Bucuresti?

The model estimates 61.9 total points (HC Buzau 30.3 · Dinamo Bucuresti 31.6).