Handball · Romania Liga Nationala · 25/09, 19:00

Prediction: CSM Bucuresti vs Poli Timisoara

Team pages: CSM Bucuresti · Poli Timisoara

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

CSM Bucuresti30.2

Poli Timisoara27.8

1X2

63% 37%

CSM Bucuresti Poli Timisoara

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Bucuresti 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWW

Poli Timisoara 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWDW

Head-to-head

CSM Bucuresti 4–2 Poli Timisoara (6 last)

Poli Timisoara25-23CSM Bucuresti
CSM Bucuresti30-27Poli Timisoara
Poli Timisoara27-26CSM Bucuresti
Poli Timisoara24-25CSM Bucuresti
CSM Bucuresti31-22Poli Timisoara
CSM Bucuresti24-23Poli Timisoara

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Bucuresti 1562 · Poli Timisoara 1519

	CSM Bucuresti	Poli Timisoara
Our model	66%	34%
Market	54%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58CSM Bucuresti 30.2 · Poli Timisoara 27.8

Match keys

H2H favours CSM Bucuresti: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CSM Bucuresti	Poli Timisoara
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.1 / 29.2	28.4 / 27.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36.4 / 29	29.4 / 28.8
Est. result	30	28

Est. total58

Line O/U55.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

X8.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.85

Under 55.51.85

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 58.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.70 → 2.60▼	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:57 +18’	1.65	8.00	2.70
23:35 +20’	1.65	8.00	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Bucuresti 4–0–2 Poli Timisoara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Romania Super Cup	Poli Timisoara	25-23	CSM Bucuresti
15/02/26 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Bucuresti	30-27	Poli Timisoara
14/09/25 Romania Liga Nationala	Poli Timisoara	27-26	CSM Bucuresti
08/03/25 Romania Liga Nationala	Poli Timisoara	24-25	CSM Bucuresti
04/10/24 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Bucuresti	31-22	Poli Timisoara
28/04/24 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Bucuresti	24-23	Poli Timisoara

Standings · Romania Liga Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Bucuresti	2	2	0	0	79	57	4
2	HC Minaur Baia Mare	2	2	0	0	65	45	4
3	CSU Suceava	2	2	0	0	62	51	4
4	Dinamo Bucuresti	2	2	0	0	53	45	4
5	Poli Timisoara	2	1	1	0	53	47	3
6	HC Buzau	2	1	0	1	61	61	2
7	HC Vaslui	2	1	0	1	48	50	2
8	Potaissa Turda	2	0	1	1	44	49	1
9	CSM Constanta	2	0	0	2	45	47	0
10	Steaua Bucuresti	2	0	0	2	52	65	0
11	CS Universitatea Cluj	2	0	0	2	46	62	0
12	Teutonii Ghimbav	2	0	0	2	60	89	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSM Bucuresti	Poli Timisoara
Potaissa Turda	28-23 W	21-21 D
HC Minaur Baia Mare	33-29 W	22-24 L
CSU Suceava	39-30 W	30-25 W
CSM Constanta	31-29 W	28-25 W
CSM Sighisoara	38-28 W	35-30 W
Dinamo Bucuresti	30-38 L	35-36 L
HC Buzau	25-29 L	32-26 W
CS Universitatea Cluj	27-25 W	27-26 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CSM Bucuresti (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Bucuresti

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	28-23	W
04/09	Teutonii Ghimbav Romania Liga Nationala	51-34	W
24/05	HC Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga Nationala	33-29	W
07/05	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	39-30	W
25/04	CSM Constanta Romania Liga Nationala	31-29	W
10/04	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	29-27	W
04/04	CSM Sighisoara Romania Liga Nationala	38-28	W
30/03	Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	30-38	L
07/03	HC Buzau Romania Liga Nationala	25-29	L
27/02	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	27-25	W

Poli Timisoara

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	HC Buzau Romania Liga Nationala	32-26	W
05/09	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	21-21	D
24/05	CSM Sighisoara Romania Liga Nationala	35-30	W
07/05	Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	35-36	L
26/04	HC Buzau Romania Liga Nationala	24-31	L
09/04	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	27-26	W
28/03	CSM Constanta Romania Liga Nationala	28-25	W
07/03	HC Vaslui Romania Liga Nationala	30-28	W
01/03	HC Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga Nationala	22-24	L
22/02	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	30-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Bucuresti vs Poli Timisoara?

Our model gives 63% to CSM Bucuresti.

How many points are expected in CSM Bucuresti vs Poli Timisoara?

The model estimates 58 total points (CSM Bucuresti 30.2 · Poli Timisoara 27.8).