Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 01/11, 16:15

Prediction: HK Malmo vs IFK Skovde HK

Team pages: HK Malmo · IFK Skovde HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64Total

HK Malmo32.8

IFK Skovde HK31.2

1X2

64% 36%

HK Malmo IFK Skovde HK

Markets

Over 63.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

HK Malmo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWWWD

IFK Skovde HK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDDWWW

Head-to-head

HK Malmo 3–1–2 IFK Skovde HK (6 last)

IFK Skovde HK26-32HK Malmo
HK Malmo30-29IFK Skovde HK
HK Malmo32-27IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK31-27HK Malmo
HK Malmo21-23IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK29-29HK Malmo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Malmo 1553 · IFK Skovde HK 1510

	HK Malmo	IFK Skovde HK
Our model	66%	34%
Market	55%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 64 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64HK Malmo 32.8 · IFK Skovde HK 31.2

Over / Under 63.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~65.1 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours HK Malmo: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HK Malmo	IFK Skovde HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.9 / 32.7	30.3 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.4 / 31.6	34 / 29.6
Est. result	33	31

Est. total64

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.5

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

X7.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 63.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
17:26 +3’	1.65	7.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Malmo 3–1–2 IFK Skovde HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/02/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	26-32	HK Malmo
20/09/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	30-29	IFK Skovde HK
08/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	32-27	IFK Skovde HK
01/10/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	31-27	HK Malmo
25/03/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	21-23	IFK Skovde HK
28/09/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	29-29	HK Malmo

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Malmo	8	5	1	2	262	252	11
2	Ystads IF HF	7	5	0	2	217	188	10
3	IK Savehof	6	5	0	1	186	165	10
4	Alingsas HK	8	5	0	3	248	228	10
5	IFK Skovde HK	7	4	2	1	232	219	10
6	IFK Kristianstad	6	5	0	1	178	172	10
7	Amo HK	8	4	1	3	255	243	9
8	Hammarby IF HF	8	4	1	3	235	229	9
9	HIF Karlskrona	7	3	0	4	217	224	6
10	Onnereds HK	8	2	2	4	237	245	6
11	OV Helsingborg	7	2	2	3	200	214	6
12	Lugi HF	8	2	0	6	248	264	4
13	Skanela IF	8	1	0	7	229	261	2
14	IF Hallby HK	8	0	1	7	220	260	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Malmo	IFK Skovde HK
Amo HK	40-33 W	34-30 W
Lugi HF	33-31 W	35-32 W
Alingsas HK	28-27 W	17-18 L
HIF Karlskrona	34-30 W	36-35 W
Ystads IF HF	29-35 L	26-36 L
OV Helsingborg	32-25 W	29-29 D
Skanela IF	29-34 L	43-28 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HK Malmo (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Malmo

LLLWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	37-37	D
25/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	40-33	W
21/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-31	W
16/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-27	W
09/10	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W
03/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-35	L
26/09	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-25	W
23/09	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-34	L
29/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	38-41	L
26/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	29-34	L

IFK Skovde HK

LLLLWDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	43-28	W
25/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	35-32	W
20/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W
15/10	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
03/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
26/09	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	36-35	W
23/09	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	26-36	L
15/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	17-18	L
12/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
07/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	26-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Malmo vs IFK Skovde HK?

Our model gives 64% to HK Malmo.

How many points are expected in HK Malmo vs IFK Skovde HK?

The model estimates 64 total points (HK Malmo 32.8 · IFK Skovde HK 31.2).

Over or under 63.5 points?

Recent history points to over 63.5 points (65%).