Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) vs BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

Team pages: HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.2Total

HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)31.5

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)26.7

1X2

87% 13%

HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWWW

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) 5–1 BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) (6 last)

HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)32-28BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)29-35HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)
HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)31-20BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)27-21HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)
HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)33-20BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)20-32HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) 1565 · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 1420

	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
Our model	78%	22%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 58.2 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.2HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) 31.5 · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 26.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) (rating 1565 vs 1420).
HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32 / 27.7	27.4 / 31.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.2 / 28	26.8 / 31.4
Est. result	32	27

Est. total58.2

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.02

X18.00

214.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.85

2 (+9.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 59.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
X	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00
2	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:42 +9’	1.02	18.00	14.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) 5–0–1 BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	32-28	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
04/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	29-35	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)
08/01/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	31-20	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
08/09/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	27-21	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)
03/02/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	33-20	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
09/09/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	20-32	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Thuringer HC (W)	3	3	0	0	112	89	6
2	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	3	3	0	0	108	87	6
3	Borussia Dortmund (W)	3	3	0	0	102	87	6
4	Buxtehuder SV (W)	3	2	0	1	80	83	4
5	TuS Metzingen (W)	3	2	0	1	89	95	4
6	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	3	1	1	1	93	86	3
7	VFL Oldenburg (W)	3	1	1	1	88	95	3
8	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	3	1	0	2	95	102	2
9	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	3	0	1	2	83	88	1
10	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	3	0	1	2	88	96	1
11	HC Leipzig (W)	3	0	0	3	75	90	0
11	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	3	0	0	3	81	96	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	31-25 W	21-37 L
TuS Metzingen (W)	40-28 W	25-29 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	37-34 W	28-29 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)

WWLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-25	W
02/09	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	40-28	W
29/08	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-34	W
31/05	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-26	W
24/05	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-27	W
17/05	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-28	L
09/05	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	35-24	W
03/05	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-29	L
25/04	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-25	W
04/04	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-31	W

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

LLLWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-29	L
05/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-29	L
30/08	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-30	D
31/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
23/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	21-37	L
20/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-37	L
09/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-31	W
02/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-32	L
19/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	19-28	L
04/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-29	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) vs BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)?

Our model gives 87% to HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W).

How many points are expected in HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) vs BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)?

The model estimates 58.2 total points (HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) 31.5 · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 26.7).