Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 16/09, 19:30

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Team pages: Borussia Dortmund (W) · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.2Total

Borussia Dortmund (W)31.9

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)29.3

1X2

85% 15%

Borussia Dortmund (W) SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Borussia Dortmund (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWWW

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWLDL

Head-to-head

Borussia Dortmund (W) 5–1–0 SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) (6 last)

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)29-39Borussia Dortmund (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)41-29SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)28-28Borussia Dortmund (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)22-18SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)21-28Borussia Dortmund (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)34-24SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borussia Dortmund (W) 1555 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 1464

	Borussia Dortmund (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
Our model	72%	28%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 61.2 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.2Borussia Dortmund (W) 31.9 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 29.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borussia Dortmund (W) (rating 1555 vs 1464).
Borussia Dortmund (W) is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Borussia Dortmund (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Borussia Dortmund (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 29.9	29.7 / 29.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 29	30 / 29.6
Est. result	32	29

Est. total61.2

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

X20.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.85

2 (+10.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 60.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:48 +7’	1.01	20.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Borussia Dortmund (W) 5–1–0 SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	29-39	Borussia Dortmund (W)
11/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	41-29	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
11/05/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	28-28	Borussia Dortmund (W)
08/03/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	22-18	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
08/02/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	21-28	Borussia Dortmund (W)
10/09/22 Germany Bundesliga Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	34-24	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Thuringer HC (W)	3	3	0	0	112	89	6
2	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	3	3	0	0	108	87	6
3	Borussia Dortmund (W)	3	3	0	0	102	87	6
4	Buxtehuder SV (W)	3	2	0	1	80	83	4
5	TuS Metzingen (W)	3	2	0	1	89	95	4
6	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	3	1	1	1	93	86	3
7	VFL Oldenburg (W)	3	1	1	1	88	95	3
8	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	3	1	0	2	95	102	2
9	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	3	0	1	2	83	88	1
10	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	3	0	1	2	88	96	1
11	HC Leipzig (W)	3	0	0	3	75	90	0
11	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	3	0	0	3	81	96	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Borussia Dortmund (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	31-26 W	33-33 D
HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	26-30 L	25-31 L
VFL Oldenburg (W)	36-33 W	33-35 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Borussia Dortmund (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borussia Dortmund (W)

WLWWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-26	W
02/09	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	35-33	W
29/08	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-28	W
31/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-30	L
24/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-28	L
17/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-27	W
02/05	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-29	W
25/04	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-32	W
04/04	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-33	L
01/04	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-33	W

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

LLLWLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-31	L
05/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
30/08	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
06/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-26	W
03/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-26	W
30/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-36	L
23/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-21	W
17/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-28	L
10/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-28	L
26/04	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borussia Dortmund (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)?

Our model gives 85% to Borussia Dortmund (W).

How many points are expected in Borussia Dortmund (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)?

The model estimates 61.2 total points (Borussia Dortmund (W) 31.9 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 29.3).