Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: VFL Oldenburg (W) vs Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Team pages: VFL Oldenburg (W) · Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.5Total

VFL Oldenburg (W)32.1

Neckarsulmer SU (W)29.3

1X2

68% 32%

VFL Oldenburg (W) Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Recent form · 10 last

VFL Oldenburg (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWDLW

Neckarsulmer SU (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLLLL

Head-to-head

VFL Oldenburg (W) 5–1–0 Neckarsulmer SU (W) (6 last)

Neckarsulmer SU (W)26-36VFL Oldenburg (W)
Neckarsulmer SU (W)26-26VFL Oldenburg (W)
VFL Oldenburg (W)31-24Neckarsulmer SU (W)
Neckarsulmer SU (W)26-27VFL Oldenburg (W)
VFL Oldenburg (W)28-25Neckarsulmer SU (W)
VFL Oldenburg (W)35-29Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VFL Oldenburg (W) 1499 · Neckarsulmer SU (W) 1429

	VFL Oldenburg (W)	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
Our model	69%	31%
Market	60%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 61.5 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.5VFL Oldenburg (W) 32.1 · Neckarsulmer SU (W) 29.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VFL Oldenburg (W) (rating 1499 vs 1429).
VFL Oldenburg (W) is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours VFL Oldenburg (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	VFL Oldenburg (W)	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33 / 31.7	27.7 / 32
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 31.4	26 / 32
Est. result	32	29

Est. total61.5

Line O/U58.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

X8.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.95

2 (+2.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 3.7 · Est. total: 62.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:47 +8’	1.50	8.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VFL Oldenburg (W) 5–1–0 Neckarsulmer SU (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	26-36	VFL Oldenburg (W)
18/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	26-26	VFL Oldenburg (W)
02/11/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	31-24	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
18/01/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	26-27	VFL Oldenburg (W)
15/09/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	28-25	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
05/05/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	35-29	Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Thuringer HC (W)	3	3	0	0	112	89	6
2	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	3	3	0	0	108	87	6
3	Borussia Dortmund (W)	3	3	0	0	102	87	6
4	Buxtehuder SV (W)	3	2	0	1	80	83	4
5	TuS Metzingen (W)	3	2	0	1	89	95	4
6	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	3	1	1	1	93	86	3
7	VFL Oldenburg (W)	3	1	1	1	88	95	3
8	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	3	1	0	2	95	102	2
9	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	3	0	1	2	83	88	1
10	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	3	0	1	2	88	96	1
11	HC Leipzig (W)	3	0	0	3	75	90	0
11	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	3	0	0	3	81	96	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VFL Oldenburg (W)	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	30-30 D	31-37 L
TuS Metzingen (W)	34-36 L	23-28 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	42-32 W	33-33 D
Buxtehuder SV (W)	28-28 D	26-27 L
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	35-33 W	34-30 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VFL Oldenburg (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VFL Oldenburg (W)

LWDWWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-24	W
06/09	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-41	L
30/08	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-30	D
30/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-26	W
23/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-36	L
20/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-30	W
09/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	42-32	W
02/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-28	D
26/04	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	35-33	W
04/04	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-37	L

Neckarsulmer SU (W)

LWLDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-27	L
02/09	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-35	L
29/08	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	22-34	L
30/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-36	L
16/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	23-28	L
09/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-37	L
03/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
25/04	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-32	L
18/04	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-30	W
29/03	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VFL Oldenburg (W) vs Neckarsulmer SU (W)?

Our model gives 68% to VFL Oldenburg (W).

How many points are expected in VFL Oldenburg (W) vs Neckarsulmer SU (W)?

The model estimates 61.5 total points (VFL Oldenburg (W) 32.1 · Neckarsulmer SU (W) 29.3).