Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 31/10, 17:00

Prediction: Thuringer HC (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Team pages: Thuringer HC (W) · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.2Total

Thuringer HC (W)32

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)29.2

1X2

82% 18%

Thuringer HC (W) SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Thuringer HC (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWDW

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDLLWL

Head-to-head

Thuringer HC (W) 6–0 SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) (6 last)

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)36-43Thuringer HC (W)
Thuringer HC (W)32-25SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)26-32Thuringer HC (W)
Thuringer HC (W)37-20SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)26-31Thuringer HC (W)
Thuringer HC (W)38-25SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thuringer HC (W) 1582 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 1478

	Thuringer HC (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
Our model	73%	27%
Market	83%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 61.2 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.2Thuringer HC (W) 32 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 29.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thuringer HC (W) (rating 1582 vs 1478).
Thuringer HC (W) is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Thuringer HC (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Thuringer HC (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.6 / 29.6	29.7 / 29.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.2 / 29.6	28 / 30.4
Est. result	32	29

Est. total61.2

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.09

X14.00

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.80

2 (+6.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 60.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.09 → 1.09	Bet365 1.09
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:15 +6’	1.09	14.00	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thuringer HC (W) 6–0–0 SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/01/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	36-43	Thuringer HC (W)
31/08/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Thuringer HC (W)	32-25	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
27/03/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	26-32	Thuringer HC (W)
28/10/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	Thuringer HC (W)	37-20	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
17/05/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	26-31	Thuringer HC (W)
04/01/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	Thuringer HC (W)	38-25	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund (W)	7	6	0	1	231	196	12
2	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	6	5	1	0	201	158	11
3	Thuringer HC (W)	6	5	1	0	210	175	11
4	VFL Oldenburg (W)	6	4	1	1	185	177	9
5	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	6	3	1	2	188	177	7
6	TuS Metzingen (W)	6	3	1	2	187	190	7
7	Buxtehuder SV (W)	6	3	0	3	158	171	6
8	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	7	2	0	5	218	229	4
9	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	6	1	1	4	170	184	3
10	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	6	1	1	4	168	186	3
11	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	6	0	1	5	151	185	1
12	HC Leipzig (W)	6	0	0	6	150	189	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Thuringer HC (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	33-23 W	33-25 W
HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	30-30 D	25-31 L
TuS Metzingen (W)	35-33 W	30-32 L
Buxtehuder SV (W)	34-27 W	25-30 L
HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	28-27 W	33-33 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Thuringer HC (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thuringer HC (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-23	W
07/10	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-30	D
19/09	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	35-33	W
12/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-32	W
06/09	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	41-30	W
30/08	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-27	W
23/05	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-27	W
09/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-35	L
03/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-28	W
25/04	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-31	L

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-30	L
10/10	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-25	W
16/09	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-33	L
09/09	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-31	L
05/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
30/08	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
06/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-26	W
03/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-26	W
30/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-36	L
23/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-21	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thuringer HC (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)?

Our model gives 82% to Thuringer HC (W).

How many points are expected in Thuringer HC (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)?

The model estimates 61.2 total points (Thuringer HC (W) 32 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 29.2).