Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 04/11, 19:00

Prediction: SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs VFL Oldenburg (W)

Team pages: SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) · VFL Oldenburg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.8Total

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)29.3

VFL Oldenburg (W)31.5

1X2

29% 71%

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) VFL Oldenburg (W)

Recent form · 10 last

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLLWLL

VFL Oldenburg (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 1–5 VFL Oldenburg (W) (6 last)

VFL Oldenburg (W)35-33SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
VFL Oldenburg (W)34-29SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)27-31VFL Oldenburg (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)24-37VFL Oldenburg (W)
VFL Oldenburg (W)41-26SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)37-30VFL Oldenburg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 1459 · VFL Oldenburg (W) 1570

	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	VFL Oldenburg (W)
Our model	44%	56%
Market	18%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 60.8 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.8SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 29.3 · VFL Oldenburg (W) 31.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VFL Oldenburg (W) (rating 1459 vs 1570).
VFL Oldenburg (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours VFL Oldenburg (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	VFL Oldenburg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29 / 30.4	31.9 / 29.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 30.2	30.4 / 26
Est. result	29	32

Est. total60.8

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X10.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.85

2 (-4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.95

Under 62.51.75

Diff.: 2.2 · Est. total: 60.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
00:11 +4’	5.00	10.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 1–0–5 VFL Oldenburg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	35-33	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
31/01/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	34-29	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
01/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	27-31	VFL Oldenburg (W)
25/05/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	24-37	VFL Oldenburg (W)
27/01/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	41-26	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
26/02/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	37-30	VFL Oldenburg (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	7	6	1	0	234	182	13
2	Thuringer HC (W)	7	6	1	0	242	205	13
3	Borussia Dortmund (W)	7	6	0	1	231	196	12
4	VFL Oldenburg (W)	7	5	1	1	212	201	11
5	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	7	4	1	2	225	209	9
6	TuS Metzingen (W)	7	3	1	3	219	227	7
7	Buxtehuder SV (W)	7	3	0	4	182	198	6
8	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	7	2	0	5	218	229	4
9	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	7	1	1	5	200	216	3
10	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	7	1	1	5	192	219	3
11	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	7	0	2	5	178	212	2
12	HC Leipzig (W)	7	0	1	6	177	216	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	VFL Oldenburg (W)
Thuringer HC (W)	30-32 L	30-41 L
Buxtehuder SV (W)	25-30 L	27-24 W
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	33-25 W	30-30 D
Borussia Dortmund (W)	24-33 L	33-29 W
HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	33-33 D	35-30 W
TuS Metzingen (W)	30-32 L	34-36 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: VFL Oldenburg (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

LWWLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
17/10	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-30	L
10/10	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-25	W
16/09	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-33	L
09/09	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-31	L
05/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
30/08	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
06/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-26	W
03/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-26	W
30/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-36	L

VFL Oldenburg (W)

WLWDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-24	W
14/10	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-29	W
07/10	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	35-30	W
16/09	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-23	W
13/09	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-24	W
06/09	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-41	L
30/08	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-30	D
30/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-26	W
23/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-36	L
20/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs VFL Oldenburg (W)?

Our model gives 71% to VFL Oldenburg (W).

How many points are expected in SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs VFL Oldenburg (W)?

The model estimates 60.8 total points (SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 29.3 · VFL Oldenburg (W) 31.5).