Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 04/11, 19:30

Prediction: TuS Metzingen (W) vs Borussia Dortmund (W)

Team pages: TuS Metzingen (W) · Borussia Dortmund (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.6Total

TuS Metzingen (W)30.7

Borussia Dortmund (W)32.9

1X2

27% 73%

TuS Metzingen (W) Borussia Dortmund (W)

Recent form · 10 last

TuS Metzingen (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWDL

Borussia Dortmund (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

TuS Metzingen (W) 0–1–5 Borussia Dortmund (W) (6 last)

TuS Metzingen (W)32-39Borussia Dortmund (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)40-25TuS Metzingen (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)31-21TuS Metzingen (W)
TuS Metzingen (W)28-28Borussia Dortmund (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)32-28TuS Metzingen (W)
TuS Metzingen (W)30-32Borussia Dortmund (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TuS Metzingen (W) 1489 · Borussia Dortmund (W) 1576

	TuS Metzingen (W)	Borussia Dortmund (W)
Our model	48%	52%
Market	13%	80%

Estimated total (ours) 63.6 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.6TuS Metzingen (W) 30.7 · Borussia Dortmund (W) 32.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borussia Dortmund (W) (rating 1489 vs 1576).
Borussia Dortmund (W) is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Borussia Dortmund (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TuS Metzingen (W)	Borussia Dortmund (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.9 / 31.2	31.2 / 28.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 31.4	32 / 27
Est. result	31	33

Est. total63.6

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

17.00

X12.00

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.75

2 (-6.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.95

Under 62.51.75

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 61.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:16	7.00	12.00	1.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TuS Metzingen (W) 0–1–5 Borussia Dortmund (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/01/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	32-39	Borussia Dortmund (W)
30/08/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	40-25	TuS Metzingen (W)
03/05/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	31-21	TuS Metzingen (W)
26/04/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	28-28	Borussia Dortmund (W)
19/04/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	32-28	TuS Metzingen (W)
15/03/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	30-32	Borussia Dortmund (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	7	6	1	0	234	182	13
2	Thuringer HC (W)	7	6	1	0	242	205	13
3	Borussia Dortmund (W)	7	6	0	1	231	196	12
4	VFL Oldenburg (W)	7	5	1	1	212	201	11
5	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	7	4	1	2	225	209	9
6	TuS Metzingen (W)	7	3	1	3	219	227	7
7	Buxtehuder SV (W)	7	3	0	4	182	198	6
8	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	7	2	0	5	218	229	4
9	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	7	1	1	5	200	216	3
10	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	7	1	1	5	192	219	3
11	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	7	0	2	5	178	212	2
12	HC Leipzig (W)	7	0	1	6	177	216	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TuS Metzingen (W)	Borussia Dortmund (W)
HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	32-37 L	31-26 W
Neckarsulmer SU (W)	33-33 D	35-33 W
HC Leipzig (W)	32-27 W	36-28 W
HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	28-40 L	26-30 L
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	32-30 W	33-24 W
VFL Oldenburg (W)	36-34 W	29-33 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Borussia Dortmund (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TuS Metzingen (W)

WWWWLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-37	L
17/10	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
07/10	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-27	W
19/09	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-35	L
13/09	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-25	W
02/09	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-40	L
30/08	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
30/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-28	W
23/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-34	W
16/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-23	W

Borussia Dortmund (W)

WLLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-29	W
14/10	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-33	L
07/10	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-23	W
16/09	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-24	W
09/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-26	W
02/09	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	35-33	W
29/08	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-28	W
31/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-30	L
24/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-28	L
17/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TuS Metzingen (W) vs Borussia Dortmund (W)?

Our model gives 73% to Borussia Dortmund (W).

How many points are expected in TuS Metzingen (W) vs Borussia Dortmund (W)?

The model estimates 63.6 total points (TuS Metzingen (W) 30.7 · Borussia Dortmund (W) 32.9).