Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 13/09, 10:30

Prediction: Talent Plzen vs HK Lovosice

Team pages: Talent Plzen · HK Lovosice

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.5Total

Talent Plzen31.2

HK Lovosice28.3

1X2

73% 27%

Talent Plzen HK Lovosice

Markets

Under 62.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Talent Plzen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLWWWW

HK Lovosice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Talent Plzen 4–2 HK Lovosice (6 last)

HK Lovosice31-34Talent Plzen
Talent Plzen39-29HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice25-32Talent Plzen
Talent Plzen32-26HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice32-30Talent Plzen
HK Lovosice29-28Talent Plzen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Talent Plzen 1595 · HK Lovosice 1512

	Talent Plzen	HK Lovosice
Our model	71%	29%
Market	68%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 59.5 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.5Talent Plzen 31.2 · HK Lovosice 28.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talent Plzen (rating 1595 vs 1512).
Talent Plzen is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Talent Plzen: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Talent Plzen	HK Lovosice
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.1 / 27.7	31.5 / 29.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 26.2	33.6 / 27.6
Est. result	31	28

Est. total59.5

Line O/U62.5

Diff.3

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X9.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 3.8 · Est. total: 58.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:00 +54’	1.32	9.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Talent Plzen 4–0–2 HK Lovosice

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	31-34	Talent Plzen
28/09/25 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	39-29	HK Lovosice
01/03/25 Czechia Cup	HK Lovosice	25-32	Talent Plzen
08/12/24 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	32-26	HK Lovosice
24/09/24 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	32-30	Talent Plzen
25/11/23 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	29-28	Talent Plzen

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Lovosice	1	1	0	36	26	2
2	Nove Veseli	1	1	0	33	25	2
3	Banik Karvina	1	1	0	35	30	2
4	HC Zubri	1	1	0	32	27	2
4	Talent Plzen	1	1	0	32	27	2
6	KH Koprivnice	1	1	0	31	27	2
7	KP Brno 1920	2	1	1	60	59	2
8	HC Frydek-Mistek	1	0	1	27	31	0
9	Dukla Praha	1	0	1	30	35	0
10	HBC Strakonice 1921	1	0	1	27	32	0
11	HBC Jicin	1	0	1	26	36	0
12	HC Zlin	2	0	2	53	67	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Talent Plzen

LWDWLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W
09/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	29-28	W
03/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	31-24	W
02/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	29-25	W
26/04	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	23-27	L
25/04	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	34-35	L
18/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	27-24	W
17/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
12/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	31-26	W
10/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-32	L

HK Lovosice

LDWWLWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	36-26	W
01/05	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-23	W
24/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	31-36	L
18/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-22	W
12/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	36-31	W
08/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	25-30	L
05/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	36-33	W
04/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	28-24	W
29/03	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	30-30	D
28/03	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	28-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Talent Plzen vs HK Lovosice?

Our model gives 73% to Talent Plzen.

How many points are expected in Talent Plzen vs HK Lovosice?

The model estimates 59.5 total points (Talent Plzen 31.2 · HK Lovosice 28.3).