Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Dukla Praha vs HK Lovosice

Team pages: Dukla Praha · HK Lovosice

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

Dukla Praha30.9

HK Lovosice30.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Dukla Praha HK Lovosice

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Dukla Praha 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWLWLW

HK Lovosice 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLWWD

Head-to-head

Dukla Praha 2–2–2 HK Lovosice (6 last)

HK Lovosice32-33Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha33-29HK Lovosice
Dukla Praha31-31HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice32-32Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha27-35HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice36-32Dukla Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dukla Praha 1504 · HK Lovosice 1523

	Dukla Praha	HK Lovosice
Our model	57%	43%
Market	48%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1Dukla Praha 30.9 · HK Lovosice 30.2

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Dukla Praha	HK Lovosice
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 30.4	31.6 / 28.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.8 / 32	32.2 / 27.2
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.1

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.90

X8.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 60.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:31 +19’	1.90	8.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dukla Praha 2–2–2 HK Lovosice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	32-33	Dukla Praha
06/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	33-29	HK Lovosice
24/05/25 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	31-31	HK Lovosice
21/05/25 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	32-32	Dukla Praha
16/05/25 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	27-35	HK Lovosice
18/12/24 Czechia Cup	HK Lovosice	36-32	Dukla Praha

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nove Veseli	2	2	0	0	63	47	4
2	Banik Karvina	2	2	0	0	66	60	4
3	HK Lovosice	2	1	1	0	65	55	3
4	Talent Plzen	2	1	1	0	61	56	3
5	Dukla Praha	2	1	0	1	72	66	2
6	HC Zubri	2	1	0	1	62	58	2
7	KP Brno 1920	2	1	0	1	60	59	2
8	HBC Jicin	2	1	0	1	56	59	2
9	KH Koprivnice	2	1	0	1	53	57	2
10	HC Frydek-Mistek	2	0	0	2	50	61	0
11	HC Zlin	2	0	0	2	53	67	0
12	HBC Strakonice 1921	2	0	0	2	58	74	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dukla Praha	HK Lovosice
HC Zubri	33-28 W	25-30 L
Talent Plzen	24-27 L	29-29 D
KP Brno 1920	32-31 W	38-23 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HK Lovosice (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dukla Praha

WWLDLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	42-31	W
05/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	30-35	L
02/05	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	33-28	W
29/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	31-35	L
25/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	33-31	W
18/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-27	L
17/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
12/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	26-31	L
10/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	32-26	W
04/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	32-31	W

HK Lovosice

DWWLWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
05/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	36-26	W
01/05	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-23	W
24/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	31-36	L
18/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-22	W
12/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	36-31	W
08/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	25-30	L
05/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	36-33	W
04/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	28-24	W
29/03	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	30-30	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dukla Praha vs HK Lovosice?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Dukla Praha 55% · HK Lovosice 45%).

How many points are expected in Dukla Praha vs HK Lovosice?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (Dukla Praha 30.9 · HK Lovosice 30.2).