Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: HBC Strakonice 1921 vs Nove Veseli

Team pages: HBC Strakonice 1921 · Nove Veseli

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60Total

HBC Strakonice 192130.1

Nove Veseli29.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

HBC Strakonice 1921 Nove Veseli

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HBC Strakonice 1921 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLLLL

Nove Veseli 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

HBC Strakonice 1921 1–5 Nove Veseli (6 last)

HBC Strakonice 192133-34Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli32-29HBC Strakonice 1921
HBC Strakonice 192127-28Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli29-24HBC Strakonice 1921
Nove Veseli36-23HBC Strakonice 1921
HBC Strakonice 192129-24Nove Veseli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HBC Strakonice 1921 1455 · Nove Veseli 1497

	HBC Strakonice 1921	Nove Veseli
Our model	54%	46%
Market	32%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 60 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60HBC Strakonice 1921 30.1 · Nove Veseli 29.9

Match keys

H2H favours Nove Veseli: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HBC Strakonice 1921	Nove Veseli
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.8 / 33.5	27.2 / 26.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 33.4	27.8 / 26.6
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.80

X8.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 2.35 · Est. total: 59.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
07:06 +11’	2.80	8.50	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HBC Strakonice 1921 1–0–5 Nove Veseli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Strakonice 1921	33-34	Nove Veseli
22/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	32-29	HBC Strakonice 1921
05/02/25 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Strakonice 1921	27-28	Nove Veseli
12/10/24 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	29-24	HBC Strakonice 1921
20/04/24 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	36-23	HBC Strakonice 1921
27/03/24 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Strakonice 1921	29-24	Nove Veseli

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	5	5	0	0	168	143	10
2	Talent Plzen	5	4	1	0	154	136	9
3	Dukla Praha	5	4	0	1	187	145	8
4	HC Zubri	5	4	0	1	153	131	8
5	Nove Veseli	5	3	0	2	139	133	6
6	HK Lovosice	5	2	1	2	159	149	5
7	HBC Jicin	5	2	0	3	141	145	4
8	KP Brno 1920	5	2	0	3	133	150	4
9	HC Zlin	5	1	0	4	141	160	2
10	KH Koprivnice	5	1	0	4	126	146	2
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	5	1	0	4	130	156	2
12	HBC Strakonice 1921	5	0	0	5	142	179	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HBC Strakonice 1921	Nove Veseli
HC Frydek-Mistek	26-29 L	25-14 W
Dukla Praha	31-42 L	26-34 L
Talent Plzen	27-32 L	23-29 L
KH Koprivnice	33-32 W	30-22 W
HBC Jicin	30-29 W	27-23 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nove Veseli (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HBC Strakonice 1921

LWLWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	26-29	L
19/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	32-35	L
13/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	31-42	L
05/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	27-32	L
30/05	HAOLK Olomouc Czechia Extraliga	33-29	W
23/05	HAOLK Olomouc Czechia Extraliga	34-28	W
02/05	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	33-32	W
26/04	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	33-42	L
18/04	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	30-29	W
10/04	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	29-37	L

Nove Veseli

LLLLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
27/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	23-29	L
19/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	27-23	W
13/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-22	W
05/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	33-25	W
29/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	25-14	W
25/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
17/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	26-28	L
10/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	32-33	L
03/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-26	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HBC Strakonice 1921 vs Nove Veseli?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HBC Strakonice 1921 43% · Nove Veseli 57%).

How many points are expected in HBC Strakonice 1921 vs Nove Veseli?

The model estimates 60 total points (HBC Strakonice 1921 30.1 · Nove Veseli 29.9).