Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Aalborg Handbold vs KIF Kolding Kbh.

Team pages: Aalborg Handbold · KIF Kolding Kbh.

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.1Total

Aalborg Handbold32.8

KIF Kolding Kbh.30.3

1X2

84% 16%

Aalborg Handbold KIF Kolding Kbh.

Markets

Under 66.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

Aalborg Handbold 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDWWL

KIF Kolding Kbh. 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDLWLL

Head-to-head

Aalborg Handbold 6–0 KIF Kolding Kbh. (6 last)

KIF Kolding Kbh.30-39Aalborg Handbold
Aalborg Handbold36-28KIF Kolding Kbh.
KIF Kolding Kbh.16-36Aalborg Handbold
KIF Kolding Kbh.26-28Aalborg Handbold
Aalborg Handbold35-31KIF Kolding Kbh.
KIF Kolding Kbh.26-28Aalborg Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aalborg Handbold 1571 · KIF Kolding Kbh. 1475

	Aalborg Handbold	KIF Kolding Kbh.
Our model	72%	28%
Market	88%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 63.1 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.1Aalborg Handbold 32.8 · KIF Kolding Kbh. 30.3

Over / Under 66.5Under · 85%recent trend · ~63.7 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aalborg Handbold (rating 1571 vs 1475).
Aalborg Handbold is a clear favourite (84% market).
H2H favours Aalborg Handbold: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Aalborg Handbold	KIF Kolding Kbh.
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 30.8	31.6 / 33.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32 / 31.6	31.2 / 34.8
Est. result	33	30

Est. total63.1

Line O/U66.5

Diff.3.4

Over / Under15% / 85%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.07

X20.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.88

2 (+7.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.88

Under 66.51.88

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 63.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:55 +1’	1.07	20.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aalborg Handbold 6–0–0 KIF Kolding Kbh.

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/10/25 Denmark Cup	KIF Kolding Kbh.	30-39	Aalborg Handbold
05/04/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Aalborg Handbold	36-28	KIF Kolding Kbh.
16/11/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	KIF Kolding Kbh.	16-36	Aalborg Handbold
06/02/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	KIF Kolding Kbh.	26-28	Aalborg Handbold
04/10/23 Denmark Handboldligaen	Aalborg Handbold	35-31	KIF Kolding Kbh.
03/05/23 Denmark Handboldligaen	KIF Kolding Kbh.	26-28	Aalborg Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	8	7	1	0	272	233	15
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	8	6	1	1	265	246	13
3	Aalborg Handbold	8	5	1	2	249	248	11
4	Skjern Handbold	8	5	0	3	270	248	10
5	Skanderborg Handbold	8	5	0	3	273	267	10
6	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	8	4	1	3	252	253	9
7	SonderjyskE	8	4	0	4	250	254	8
8	Fredericia HK	8	4	0	4	239	218	8
9	Team Tvis Holstebro	8	3	1	4	245	246	7
10	Nordsjaelland Handbold	8	3	1	4	239	245	7
11	Mors-Thy Handbold	8	3	0	5	243	256	6
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	8	2	1	5	250	273	5
13	Skive FH	8	1	0	7	270	289	2
14	TMS Ringsted	8	0	1	7	244	285	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aalborg Handbold	KIF Kolding Kbh.
Nordsjaelland Handbold	34-29 W	32-32 D
Skjern Handbold	33-30 W	35-42 L
Team Tvis Holstebro	31-29 W	31-37 L
SonderjyskE	32-28 W	32-31 W
Skanderborg Handbold	35-31 W	26-32 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aalborg Handbold (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aalborg Handbold

WWWWLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	27-39	L
26/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	36-30	W
20/09	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-29	W
12/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	30-30	D
05/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-30	W
02/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	26-33	L
30/08	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	31-29	W
26/08	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W
04/06	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-31	W
31/05	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-29	W

KIF Kolding Kbh.

WWWLLDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-42	L
25/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	31-37	L
16/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	32-31	W
13/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-32	L
06/09	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-32	D
02/09	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	28-31	L
30/08	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-34	L
26/08	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	35-34	W
10/05	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	33-30	W
06/05	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	33-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aalborg Handbold vs KIF Kolding Kbh.?

Our model gives 84% to Aalborg Handbold.

How many points are expected in Aalborg Handbold vs KIF Kolding Kbh.?

The model estimates 63.1 total points (Aalborg Handbold 32.8 · KIF Kolding Kbh. 30.3).

Over or under 66.5 points?

Recent history points to under 66.5 points (85%).