Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 14/11, 18:30

Prediction: SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

Team pages: SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.5Total

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)36.7

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)28.9

1X2

86% 14%

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

Recent form · 10 last

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWW

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLLLWL

Head-to-head

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) (2 last)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)33-34SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)36-30Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 1599 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 1437

	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
Our model	79%	21%
Market	86%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 65.5 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.5SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 36.7 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 28.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) (rating 1599 vs 1437).
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W): 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	36.4 / 27.4	29.6 / 33.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36 / 29	31.2 / 35
Est. result	37	29

Est. total65.5

Line O/U62.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X16.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.75

Under 62.51.95

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 63.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:14 +4’	1.04	16.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 2–0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	33-34	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
01/11/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	36-30	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	8	7	1	0	290	221	15
2	Fuchse Berlin (W)	8	6	2	0	279	233	14
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	8	7	0	1	250	217	14
4	HC Rodertal (W)	8	6	0	2	251	205	12
5	VfL Waiblingen (W)	8	6	0	2	241	202	12
6	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	8	6	0	2	251	228	12
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	7	4	2	1	218	182	10
8	Bergischer HC (W)	8	4	1	3	236	234	9
9	HSG Freiburg (W)	8	3	1	4	252	262	7
10	SV Werder Bremen (W)	8	3	0	5	238	254	6
11	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	8	2	1	5	220	238	5
12	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	7	2	0	5	178	218	4
13	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	8	1	1	6	235	279	3
14	TUS Lintfort (W)	8	1	0	7	206	244	2
15	SV Todesfelde (W)	8	0	1	7	225	267	1
16	Rostocker HC (W)	8	0	0	8	197	283	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
VfL Waiblingen (W)	31-28 W	24-32 L
Rostocker HC (W)	38-27 W	40-33 W
Fuchse Berlin (W)	36-36 D	37-40 L
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	37-28 W	26-32 L
HSG Freiburg (W)	39-22 W	29-38 L
SV Todesfelde (W)	34-31 W	35-35 D
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	37-23 W	22-29 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)

WWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	38-26	W
31/10	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-28	W
17/10	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	38-27	W
10/10	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-36	D
19/09	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-28	W
12/09	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-22	W
05/09	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-31	W
29/08	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-23	W
30/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-27	W
23/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-26	W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

WLLLDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-32	L
31/10	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-33	W
17/10	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-40	L
11/10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-32	L
19/09	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-38	L
12/09	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-35	D
06/09	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-29	L
29/08	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-40	L
30/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-33	L
23/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)?

Our model gives 86% to SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W).

How many points are expected in SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)?

The model estimates 65.5 total points (SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 36.7 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 28.9).