Handball · Austria HLA · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: BT Fuchse vs Alpla HC Hard

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.7Total

BT Fuchse29.4

Alpla HC Hard29.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

BT Fuchse Alpla HC Hard

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

BT Fuchse 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLWWLL

Alpla HC Hard 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWLWL

Head-to-head

BT Fuchse 1–1–4 Alpla HC Hard (6 last)

Alpla HC Hard33-31BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse30-29Alpla HC Hard
BT Fuchse35-41Alpla HC Hard
Alpla HC Hard36-28BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse31-31Alpla HC Hard
Alpla HC Hard39-21BT Fuchse

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BT Fuchse 1515 · Alpla HC Hard 1504

	BT Fuchse	Alpla HC Hard
Our model	61%	39%
Market	35%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 58.7 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.7BT Fuchse 29.4 · Alpla HC Hard 29.3

Match keys

H2H favours Alpla HC Hard: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BT Fuchse	Alpla HC Hard
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.6 / 29.7	29.7 / 29.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 31.4	31.2 / 31.6
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58.7

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

X8.00

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.75

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 59.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:30 +21’	2.55	8.00	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BT Fuchse 1–1–4 Alpla HC Hard

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Austria HLA	Alpla HC Hard	33-31	BT Fuchse
29/11/25 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	30-29	Alpla HC Hard
07/03/25 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	35-41	Alpla HC Hard
25/10/24 Austria HLA	Alpla HC Hard	36-28	BT Fuchse
12/04/24 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	31-31	Alpla HC Hard
01/12/23 Austria HLA	Alpla HC Hard	39-21	BT Fuchse

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alpla HC Hard	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bregenz Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Handball Tirol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BT Fuchse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fivers WAT Margareten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HC Linz AG	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Graz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Barnbach/Koflach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Voslauer HC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Ferlach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UHK Krems	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAT Atzgersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BT Fuchse	Alpla HC Hard
Fivers WAT Margareten	30-39 L	31-33 L
HC Linz AG	28-27 W	26-24 W
HSG Barnbach/Koflach	26-26 D	28-30 L
Voslauer HC	26-30 L	26-30 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Alpla HC Hard (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BT Fuchse

LWWDWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	30-39	L
22/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	29-30	L
06/05	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	28-27	W
02/05	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	30-28	W
18/04	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	31-33	L
15/04	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	33-27	W
11/04	HSG Barnbach/Koflach Austria HLA	26-26	D
28/03	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	31-27	W
14/03	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	32-30	W
08/03	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	26-30	L

Alpla HC Hard

DWLWWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	31-33	L
05/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	32-31	W
01/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	32-33	L
18/04	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	33-31	W
15/04	HSG Barnbach/Koflach Austria HLA	28-30	L
10/04	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	26-24	W
27/03	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	28-26	W
13/03	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	26-30	L
07/03	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	35-30	W
03/03	HSG Graz Austria HLA	26-26	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BT Fuchse vs Alpla HC Hard?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BT Fuchse 49% · Alpla HC Hard 51%).

How many points are expected in BT Fuchse vs Alpla HC Hard?

The model estimates 58.7 total points (BT Fuchse 29.4 · Alpla HC Hard 29.3).