Handball · Austria HLA · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: HSG Graz vs UHK Krems

Prediction summary
Estimated points
59.2Total
HSG Graz29.3
UHK Krems29.9
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
56% 44%
HSG Graz UHK Krems

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
HSG Graz 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWLWWL
UHK Krems 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWLLWDWL
Head-to-head
HSG Graz 1–2–3 UHK Krems (6 last)
  • UHK Krems29-28HSG Graz
  • HSG Graz30-30UHK Krems
  • UHK Krems26-26HSG Graz
  • HSG Graz27-28UHK Krems
  • HSG Graz28-25UHK Krems
  • UHK Krems29-25HSG Graz
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Graz 1506 · UHK Krems 1525
HSG GrazUHK Krems
Our model57%43%
Market49%40%
Estimated total (ours) 59.2 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points59.2HSG Graz 29.3 · UHK Krems 29.9

Match keys

  • H2H favours UHK Krems: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

HSG GrazUHK Krems
Points F|A (Last 10)28.4 / 29.430.7 / 30.1
Points F|A (Last 5)29 / 28.430 / 29
Est. result2930
Est. total59.2
Line O/U58.5
Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Graz 123 UHK Krems

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Austria HLA
UHK Krems29-28HSG Graz
25/10/25
Austria HLA
HSG Graz30-30UHK Krems
01/03/25
Austria HLA
UHK Krems26-26HSG Graz
12/10/24
Austria HLA
HSG Graz27-28UHK Krems
24/03/24
Austria Cup
HSG Graz28-25UHK Krems
24/02/24
Austria HLA
UHK Krems29-25HSG Graz

Standings · Austria HLA

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Alpla HC Hard 000 000
1 Bregenz Handball 000 000
1 Handball Tirol 000 000
1 BT Fuchse 000 000
1 Fivers WAT Margareten 000 000
1 HC Linz AG 000 000
1 HSG Graz 000 000
1 HSG Barnbach/Koflach 000 000
1 Voslauer HC 000 000
1 SC Ferlach 000 000
1 UHK Krems 000 000
1 WAT Atzgersdorf 000 000

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHSG GrazUHK Krems
Bregenz Handball 29-32 L 35-28 W
Handball Tirol 25-24 W 35-37 L
UHC Hollabrunn 35-30 W 29-30 L
Voslauer HC 35-39 L 29-33 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HSG Graz (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Graz

WWLLLWLWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
03/06 Bregenz Handball
Austria HLA
29-32 L
29/05 Handball Tirol
Austria HLA
25-24 W
23/05 UHC Hollabrunn
Austria HLA
35-30 W
09/05 Bregenz Handball
Austria HLA
29-33 L
05/05 Handball Tirol
Austria HLA
27-23 W
02/05 UHC Hollabrunn
Austria HLA
21-23 L
18/04 Voslauer HC
Austria HLA
35-39 L
15/04 Bregenz Handball
Austria HLA
28-37 L
11/04 UHC Hollabrunn
Austria HLA
26-25 W
27/03 Handball Tirol
Austria HLA
29-28 W

UHK Krems

LLWWLLWDWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/05 SC Ferlach
Austria HLA
27-31 L
06/05 SC Ferlach
Austria HLA
35-23 W
02/05 SC Ferlach
Austria HLA
31-31 D
18/04 HC Linz AG
Austria HLA
31-29 W
15/04 Fivers WAT Margareten
Austria HLA
26-31 L
11/04 Voslauer HC
Austria HLA
29-33 L
27/03 Bregenz Handball
Austria HLA
35-28 W
14/03 HSG Graz
Austria HLA
29-28 W
07/03 Handball Tirol
Austria HLA
35-37 L
04/03 UHC Hollabrunn
Austria HLA
29-30 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Graz vs UHK Krems?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HSG Graz 56% · UHK Krems 44%).

How many points are expected in HSG Graz vs UHK Krems?

The model estimates 59.2 total points (HSG Graz 29.3 · UHK Krems 29.9).