Handball · Austria HLA · 11/09, 19:30

Prediction: HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat vs HSG Graz

Team pages: HSG Graz

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57Total

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat28.6

HSG Graz28.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat HSG Graz

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWDLLW

HSG Graz 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWLW

Head-to-head

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 3–3 HSG Graz (6 last)

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat30-29HSG Graz
HSG Graz27-28HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
HSG Graz28-25HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat26-25HSG Graz
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat27-32HSG Graz
HSG Graz35-28HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 1477 · HSG Graz 1498

	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	HSG Graz
Our model	57%	43%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 57 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 28.6 · HSG Graz 28.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	HSG Graz
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.3 / 29	29 / 29.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 27.4	30.6 / 30.2
Est. result	29	28

Est. total57

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 57.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +58’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 3–0–3 HSG Graz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	30-29	HSG Graz
19/09/25 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	27-28	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
17/05/25 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	28-25	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
26/04/25 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	26-25	HSG Graz
08/03/25 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	27-32	HSG Graz
25/10/24 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	35-28	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fivers WAT Margareten	2	2	0	76	59	4
2	SC Ferlach	2	2	0	62	54	4
3	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	1	1	0	30	25	2
4	HSG Graz	1	1	0	35	32	2
5	BT Fuchse	1	1	0	35	33	2
6	Handball Tirol	1	1	0	31	30	2
7	Voslauer HC	1	0	1	30	31	0
8	Bregenz Handball	1	0	1	32	34	0
9	UHK Krems	1	0	1	32	35	0
10	Alpla HC Hard	2	0	2	59	63	0
11	HC Linz AG	1	0	1	28	34	0
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	2	0	2	52	72	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	HSG Graz
Voslauer HC	26-28 L	35-39 L
UHC Hollabrunn	35-36 L	35-30 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

LLLLDWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	30-25	W
06/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	26-28	L
02/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	25-30	L
18/04	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	26-26	D
15/04	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	30-28	W
11/04	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	26-26	D
28/03	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	35-36	L
14/03	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	19-25	L
07/03	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	28-36	L
04/03	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	28-30	L

HSG Graz

WLLLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	35-32	W
03/06	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	29-32	L
29/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	25-24	W
23/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	35-30	W
09/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	29-33	L
05/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	27-23	W
02/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	21-23	L
18/04	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	35-39	L
15/04	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	28-37	L
11/04	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	26-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat vs HSG Graz?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 56% · HSG Graz 44%).

How many points are expected in HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat vs HSG Graz?

The model estimates 57 total points (HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 28.6 · HSG Graz 28.4).