Handball · Austria HLA · 23/10, 19:30

Prediction: HSG Graz vs Handball Tirol

Team pages: HSG Graz · Handball Tirol

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.7Total

HSG Graz30.5

Handball Tirol31.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

HSG Graz Handball Tirol

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Graz 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWLW

Handball Tirol 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

HSG Graz 4–2 Handball Tirol (6 last)

Handball Tirol24-25HSG Graz
HSG Graz27-23Handball Tirol
HSG Graz29-28Handball Tirol
HSG Graz37-39Handball Tirol
Handball Tirol34-33HSG Graz
Handball Tirol23-29HSG Graz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Graz 1536 · Handball Tirol 1545

	HSG Graz	Handball Tirol
Our model	59%	41%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 61.7 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.7HSG Graz 30.5 · Handball Tirol 31.3

Match keys

H2H favours HSG Graz: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Graz	Handball Tirol
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 31.4	31.9 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.4 / 32.6	32.2 / 29
Est. result	31	31

Est. total61.7

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 61.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
10:35 +40’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Graz 4–0–2 Handball Tirol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	24-25	HSG Graz
05/05/26 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	27-23	Handball Tirol
27/03/26 Austria HLA	HSG Graz	29-28	Handball Tirol
18/02/26 Austria Cup	HSG Graz	37-39	Handball Tirol
07/11/25 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	34-33	HSG Graz
21/12/24 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	23-29	HSG Graz

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	7	5	0	2	223	204	10
2	SC Ferlach	7	3	4	0	206	193	10
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	7	5	0	2	247	221	10
4	HC Linz AG	7	4	0	3	213	210	8
5	HSG Graz	6	4	0	2	197	195	8
6	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	8	3	2	3	229	219	8
7	Bregenz Handball	7	3	1	3	223	217	7
8	Alpla HC Hard	7	3	0	4	212	213	6
9	Voslauer HC	7	3	0	4	205	202	6
10	BT Fuchse	7	3	0	4	210	221	6
11	UHK Krems	7	1	2	4	199	212	4
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	7	0	1	6	185	242	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Graz	Handball Tirol
WAT Atzgersdorf	34-29 W	39-20 W
Fivers WAT Margareten	34-37 L	34-32 W
Bregenz Handball	35-32 W	32-35 L
HC Linz AG	29-36 L	27-32 L
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	30-29 W	29-26 W
UHC Hollabrunn	35-30 W	34-28 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Handball Tirol (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Graz

LWWLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	34-29	W
07/10	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	34-37	L
04/10	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	35-32	W
26/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	29-36	L
11/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	30-29	W
05/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	35-32	W
03/06	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	29-32	L
29/05	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	25-24	W
23/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	35-30	W
09/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	29-33	L

Handball Tirol

WLLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	39-20	W
10/10	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	32-35	L
03/10	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	27-32	L
26/09	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	34-32	W
18/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	29-26	W
04/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-30	W
03/06	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	34-28	W
29/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	24-25	L
23/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-34	L
09/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	36-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Graz vs Handball Tirol?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HSG Graz 57% · Handball Tirol 43%).

How many points are expected in HSG Graz vs Handball Tirol?

The model estimates 61.7 total points (HSG Graz 30.5 · Handball Tirol 31.3).