Handball · Poland SuperLiga Women · 14/10, 18:00

Prediction: Start Elblag (W) vs KPR Kobierzyce (W)

Team pages: Start Elblag (W) · KPR Kobierzyce (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.3Total

Start Elblag (W)27.5

KPR Kobierzyce (W)32.8

1X2

28% 72%

Start Elblag (W) KPR Kobierzyce (W)

Markets

Over 56.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Start Elblag (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWWL

KPR Kobierzyce (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Start Elblag (W) 1–5 KPR Kobierzyce (W) (6 last)

Start Elblag (W)29-36KPR Kobierzyce (W)
KPR Kobierzyce (W)34-29Start Elblag (W)
KPR Kobierzyce (W)33-24Start Elblag (W)
Start Elblag (W)31-25KPR Kobierzyce (W)
KPR Kobierzyce (W)34-32Start Elblag (W)
Start Elblag (W)27-30KPR Kobierzyce (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Start Elblag (W) 1463 · KPR Kobierzyce (W) 1544

	Start Elblag (W)	KPR Kobierzyce (W)
Our model	48%	52%
Market	14%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 60.3 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.3Start Elblag (W) 27.5 · KPR Kobierzyce (W) 32.8

Over / Under 56.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~58.7 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KPR Kobierzyce (W) (rating 1463 vs 1544).
KPR Kobierzyce (W) is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours KPR Kobierzyce (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Start Elblag (W)	KPR Kobierzyce (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 32.5	30.9 / 25.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.6 / 32.8	32.4 / 23
Est. result	28	33

Est. total60.3

Line O/U56.5

Diff.3.8

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

X11.00

21.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 2.95 · Est. total: 59.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50
X	9.00 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00
2	1.35 → 1.15▼	Bet365 1.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:23 +52’	4.00	9.00	1.35
11:09 +7’	6.50▲	11.00▲	1.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Start Elblag (W) 1–0–5 KPR Kobierzyce (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/11/25 Poland SuperLiga Women	Start Elblag (W)	29-36	KPR Kobierzyce (W)
03/09/25 Poland SuperLiga Women	KPR Kobierzyce (W)	34-29	Start Elblag (W)
24/05/25 Poland SuperLiga Women	KPR Kobierzyce (W)	33-24	Start Elblag (W)
17/04/25 Poland SuperLiga Women	Start Elblag (W)	31-25	KPR Kobierzyce (W)
02/02/25 Poland SuperLiga Women	KPR Kobierzyce (W)	34-32	Start Elblag (W)
09/10/24 Poland SuperLiga Women	Start Elblag (W)	27-30	KPR Kobierzyce (W)

Standings · Poland SuperLiga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MKS Lublin (W)	4	4	0	140	93	12
2	Zaglebie Lubin (W)	5	4	1	160	124	12
3	MKS Piotrcovia (W)	4	4	0	115	91	12
4	KPR Kobierzyce (W)	4	3	1	124	89	9
5	MKS Gniezno (W)	5	3	2	154	132	9
6	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)	4	2	2	108	127	6
7	Start Elblag (W)	5	2	3	143	164	6
8	Galychanka Lviv (W)	5	1	4	131	154	3
9	KS APR Radom (W)	5	0	5	124	178	0
10	Sosnica Gliwice (W)	5	0	5	119	166	-6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Start Elblag (W)	KPR Kobierzyce (W)
Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W)	36-37 L	31-21 W
MKS Gniezno (W)	23-34 L	38-26 W
Zaglebie Lubin (W)	25-40 L	30-25 W
Sosnica Gliwice (W)	32-29 W	38-17 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KPR Kobierzyce (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Start Elblag (W)

LLWLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	36-37	L
03/10	Galychanka Lviv (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	30-25	W
16/09	KS APR Radom (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	29-28	W
08/09	MKS Gniezno (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	23-34	L
04/09	Zaglebie Lubin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	25-40	L
19/04	Galychanka Lviv (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	36-34	W
31/03	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	28-29	L
21/03	Sosnica Gliwice (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	32-29	W
14/03	Galychanka Lviv (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	27-31	L
28/02	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	37-38	L

KPR Kobierzyce (W)

WLLLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	MKS Piotrcovia (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	25-26	L
15/09	Sosnica Gliwice (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	38-17	W
12/09	Zaglebie Lubin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	30-25	W
05/09	Ruch Szczypiorno Kalisz (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	31-21	W
23/05	MKS Gniezno (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	38-26	W
16/05	Koszalin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	32-25	W
03/05	Zaglebie Lubin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	22-28	L
26/04	MKS Lublin (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	29-30	L
16/04	MKS Piotrcovia (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	28-30	L
28/03	MKS Gniezno (W) Poland SuperLiga Women	36-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Start Elblag (W) vs KPR Kobierzyce (W)?

Our model gives 72% to KPR Kobierzyce (W).

How many points are expected in Start Elblag (W) vs KPR Kobierzyce (W)?

The model estimates 60.3 total points (Start Elblag (W) 27.5 · KPR Kobierzyce (W) 32.8).

Over or under 56.5 points?

Recent history points to over 56.5 points (70%).